Vital Farms Stock Analysis

VITL Stock  USD 32.27  1.83  6.01%   
Vital Farms is overvalued with Real Value of 25.6 and Target Price of 17.83. The main objective of Vital Farms stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Vital Farms is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Vital Farms' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Vital Farms stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vital Farms. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to buy in Vital Stock guide.

Vital Stock Analysis Notes

About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 103.36. Vital Farms had not issued any dividends in recent years. Vital Farms, Inc., an ethical food company, provides pasture-raised products in the United States. Vital Farms, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas. Vital Farms operates under Farm Products classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 288 people. For more information please call Russell DiezCanseco at 877 455 3063 or visit https://vitalfarms.com.

Vital Farms Quarterly Total Revenue

147.39 Million

Vital Farms Investment Alerts

Vital Farms had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Vital Farms has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in Vital Farms Stock

Vital Farms Upcoming and Recent Events

14th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
14th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Vital Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Vital Farms' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-11-03
2022-09-300.010.020.01100 
2021-03-24
2020-12-31-0.01-0.02-0.01100 
2021-11-09
2021-09-30-0.06-0.030.0350 
View All Earnings Estimates

Vital Farms Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Vital Farms' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Vital Farms' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Vital Farms' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Vital Farms' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Vital Farms Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Vital Farms stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Food Products Idea
Food Products
USA Equities from Food Products industry as classified by Fama & French

Vital Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-06-30
717.2 K
Emerald Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
706.4 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
683.6 K
Driehaus Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
682.2 K
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-09-30
655.8 K
Lord, Abbett & Co Llc2024-09-30
643.1 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
614.9 K
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2024-06-30
609.2 K
Emerald Mutual Fund Advisers Trust2024-09-30
531.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Note, although Vital Farms' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Vital Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.33 B.

Vital Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.09 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.06 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.06.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.18  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.26 

Management Efficiency

Vital Farms has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1254 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1254 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.2293 %, meaning that it created $0.2293 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Vital Farms' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Vital Farms manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Equity is expected to rise to 0.26 this year, although the value of Return On Tangible Assets will most likely fall to 0.06. The value of Total Assets is estimated to slide to about 176.5 M. The value of Net Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to about 98.2 M
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 4.21  2.54 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 4.12  2.46 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 14.84  14.10 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.86  3.66 
Enterprise Value Multiple 14.84  14.10 
Price Fair Value 3.86  3.66 
Enterprise Value672.4 M921.7 M
Understanding the operational decisions made by Vital Farms management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Operating Margin
0.0637
Profit Margin
0.0868
Beta
0.97
Return On Assets
0.1254
Return On Equity
0.2293

Technical Drivers

As of the 26th of November, Vital Farms has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0074, variance of 9.98, and Coefficient Of Variation of (420,939). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Vital Farms, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Vital Farms market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Vital Farms is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 32.27 per share. Given that Vital Farms has information ratio of (0.04), we advise you to double-check Vital Farms's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Vital Farms Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Vital Farms middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Vital Farms. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Vital Farms Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Vital Farms insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Vital Farms' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Vital Farms insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Vital Farms Outstanding Bonds

Vital Farms issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Vital Farms uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Vital bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Vital Farms has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Vital Farms Predictive Daily Indicators

Vital Farms intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Vital Farms stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Vital Farms Corporate Filings

F4
21st of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
19th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
8th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
10Q
7th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
F4
23rd of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
22nd of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
16th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Vital Farms Forecast Models

Vital Farms' time-series forecasting models are one of many Vital Farms' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Vital Farms' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Vital Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Vital Farms prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Vital shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Vital Farms. By using and applying Vital Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Vital entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.06  0.06 
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.07 
Net Profit Margin 0.05  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.31  0.25 

Current Vital Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Vital analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Vital analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
17.83Strong Buy6Odds
Vital Farms current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Vital analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Vital stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Vital Farms, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Vital conference calls.
Vital Analyst Advice Details

Vital Stock Analysis Indicators

Vital Farms stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Vital Farms stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Vital Farms shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Vital Farms stock analysis, traders can identify Vital Farms position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow12.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity192.7 M
Capital Lease Obligations22.6 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net75.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments116.8 M
Net Invested Capital192.7 M
Cash84.1 M
50 Day M A34.7354
Net Interest Income1.8 M
Total Current Liabilities65.2 M
Forward Price Earnings208.3333
Investments22.4 M
Interest Expense782 K
Stock Based Compensation7.4 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.7 M
Tax Provision6.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.6
Free Cash Flow39.4 M
Other Current Assets6.1 M
Accounts Payable33.5 M
Net Debt-61.6 M
Non Current Assets Total79.7 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity275.2 M
When determining whether Vital Farms is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vital Farms' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vital Farms' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vital Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vital Farms. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to buy in Vital Stock guide.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vital Farms. If investors know Vital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vital Farms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.6
Earnings Share
1.12
Revenue Per Share
13.619
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.313
Return On Assets
0.1254
The market value of Vital Farms is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vital Farms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vital Farms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vital Farms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vital Farms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vital Farms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vital Farms is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vital Farms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.