Cipher Mining Volatility
| CIFRWDelisted Stock | USD 4.09 0.15 3.54% |
Cipher Mining secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.21, which signifies that the company had a -0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Cipher Mining exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Cipher Mining's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0268, mean deviation of 10.0, and Downside Deviation of 14.1 to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.2064
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Based on monthly moving average Cipher Mining is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Cipher Mining by adding Cipher Mining to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Cipher Mining's volatility include:90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Cipher Mining Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Cipher daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Cipher's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Cipher Mining volatility.
Cipher |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Cipher Mining can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Cipher Mining at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Cipher stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Cipher Mining's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns. Main indicators related to Cipher Mining's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta (3.10) | Alpha 0.52 | Risk 8.51 | Sharpe Ratio (0.21) | Expected Return (1.76) |
Moving against Cipher Stock
| 0.73 | NNBR | NN Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | BBDO | Banco Bradesco SA | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | LAND | Gladstone Land Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | BKRKY | Bank Rakyat Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | MXCHY | Orbia Advance Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | PRTS | CarPartsCom | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | JOE | St Joe Company Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | INTC | Intel | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | TATT | Tat Techno | PairCorr |
Cipher Mining Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Cipher Mining's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Cipher stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Cipher stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Cipher Mining's beta of -3.1 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Cipher Mining stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Cipher Mining is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cipher Mining's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cipher Mining's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Cipher Mining Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Cipher Mining correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Cipher Mining Volatility and Downside Risk
Cipher standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Cipher Mining Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Cipher Mining delisted stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Cipher Mining's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Cipher Mining's stock to predict their future moves. A delisted stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile delisted stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Cipher Mining's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of delisted stock volatility measures Cipher Mining's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Cipher Mining's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Cipher Mining's current market price. This means that the delisted stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Cipher Mining's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
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Cipher Mining Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cipher Mining has a beta of -3.1039 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Cipher Mining are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Cipher Mining is expected to outperform its benchmark.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cipher Mining or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cipher Mining's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cipher delisted stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Predicted Return Density |
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What Drives a Cipher Mining Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a delisted stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Cipher Mining Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Cipher Mining is -484.4. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 72.45 and standard deviation of 8.51. The mean deviation of Cipher Mining is currently at 5.97. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Cipher Mining Stock Return Volatility
Cipher Mining historical daily return volatility represents how much of Cipher Mining delisted stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The venture shows 8.5116% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7399% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
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Related Correlations Analysis
Correlation Matchups
Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.High positive correlations
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Risk-Adjusted Indicators
There is a big difference between Cipher Stock performing well and Cipher Mining Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Cipher Mining's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.| Mean Deviation | Jensen Alpha | Sortino Ratio | Treynor Ratio | Semi Deviation | Expected Shortfall | Potential Upside | Value @Risk | Maximum Drawdown | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC | 1.61 | (0.10) | (0.02) | 0.01 | 2.23 | 3.34 | 11.68 | |||
| LAZ | 1.65 | (0.04) | 0.01 | 0.05 | 2.36 | 3.71 | 12.16 | |||
| RJF | 1.21 | (0.07) | (0.03) | 0.01 | 2.05 | 2.28 | 11.78 | |||
| SNEX | 1.88 | 0.41 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 1.63 | 4.80 | 9.35 | |||
| BGC | 1.46 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.18 | 1.74 | 2.89 | 12.12 | |||
| VIRT | 1.46 | 0.19 | 0.07 | 0.80 | 1.83 | 2.81 | 13.20 | |||
| HUT | 5.24 | 0.58 | 0.10 | 0.25 | 6.44 | 14.21 | 32.22 | |||
| PJT | 1.54 | (0.23) | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.00 | 3.08 | 12.71 | |||
| UPST | 3.48 | (0.57) | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.00 | 6.89 | 25.64 | |||
| NNI | 1.17 | (0.04) | (0.04) | 0.02 | 1.31 | 2.43 | 6.95 |
About Cipher Mining Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Cipher Mining or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Cipher Mining may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Cipher's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Cipher Mining and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Cipher Mining fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Cipher Mining's volatility to invest better
Higher Cipher Mining's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Cipher Mining stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Cipher Mining stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Cipher Mining investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Cipher Mining's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Cipher Mining's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Cipher Mining Investment Opportunity
Cipher Mining has a volatility of 8.51 and is 11.5 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Cipher Mining is higher than 76 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Cipher Mining to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Cipher Mining to be traded at $3.93 in 90 days.Very good diversification
The correlation between Cipher Mining and DJI is -0.29 (i.e., Very good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cipher Mining and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Cipher Mining Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cipher Mining's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cipher Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Cipher Mining stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0268 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 10.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 13.61 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 14.1 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4403.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.79 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar delisted stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Cipher Mining Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Cipher Mining as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Cipher Mining's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Cipher Mining's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Cipher Mining.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Other Consideration for investing in Cipher Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Cipher Mining check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Cipher Mining's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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