Traeger Stock Volatility
| COOK Stock | USD 1.08 0.04 3.85% |
As of now, Traeger Stock is abnormally volatile. Traeger owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which indicates the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Traeger, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Traeger's insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance, coefficient of variation of (6,779), and Variance of 41.54 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0389%. Key indicators related to Traeger's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Traeger Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Traeger daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Traeger's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Traeger volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Traeger at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Traeger stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with Traeger Stock
Moving against Traeger Stock
Traeger Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Traeger's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Traeger stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Traeger stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Traeger's beta of 1.44 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Traeger stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Traeger is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Traeger is a potential penny stock. Although Traeger may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Traeger. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Traeger instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Traeger Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Traeger correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Traeger Beta |
Traeger standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 6.66 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Traeger's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Traeger's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in traeger stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Traeger.
Using Traeger Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on Traeger grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Traeger at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Traeger Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Traeger's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Traeger will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
Traeger's PUT expiring on 2026-03-20
Profit |
| Traeger Price At Expiration |
Current Traeger Insurance Chain
| Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||
Put | COOK260320P00001000 | -0.341356 | 0.515813 | 264 | 2026-03-20 | 0.0 - 0.25 | 0.0 | View |
Put | COOK260320P00002000 | -0.753142 | 0.473657 | 6 | 2026-03-20 | 0.95 - 1.1 | 0.0 | View |
Put | COOK260320P00003000 | -0.838811 | 0.307987 | 47 | 2026-03-20 | 1.65 - 2.35 | 0.0 | View |
Traeger Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Traeger stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Traeger's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Traeger's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Traeger's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Traeger's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Traeger's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Traeger's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Traeger's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. The Median Price line plots median indexes of Traeger price series.
Traeger Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.437 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Traeger will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Traeger or Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Traeger's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Traeger stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Traeger has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Traeger Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Traeger Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Traeger is 17126.66. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 44.39 and standard deviation of 6.66. The mean deviation of Traeger is currently at 4.77. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.71
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Traeger Stock Return Volatility
Traeger historical daily return volatility represents how much of Traeger stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 6.6623% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7255% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Traeger Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Traeger or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Traeger may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Traeger's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Traeger and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Traeger fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 109.7 M | 123.7 M | |
| Market Cap | 388.4 M | 748.7 M |
Traeger's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Traeger Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Traeger's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Traeger's volatility to invest better
Higher Traeger's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Traeger stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Traeger stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Traeger investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Traeger's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Traeger's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Traeger Investment Opportunity
Traeger has a volatility of 6.66 and is 9.12 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 59 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Traeger. You can use Traeger to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Traeger to be traded at $1.296 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between Traeger and DJI is 0.16 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Traeger and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Traeger Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Traeger's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Traeger's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Traeger stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.47 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (6,779) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.44 | |||
| Variance | 41.54 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Traeger Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Traeger as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Traeger's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Traeger's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Traeger.
When determining whether Traeger is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Traeger Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Traeger Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Traeger Stock: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Traeger. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. For more information on how to buy Traeger Stock please use our How to buy in Traeger Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Traeger. If investors know Traeger will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Traeger listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.80) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Traeger is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Traeger that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Traeger's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Traeger's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Traeger's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Traeger's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Traeger's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Traeger is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Traeger's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.