1st Colonial Bancorp Stock Volatility
| FCOB Stock | USD 14.46 0.04 0.28% |
1st Colonial Bancorp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0853, which signifies that the company had a -0.0853% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. 1st Colonial Bancorp exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 1st Colonial's risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Mean Deviation of 0.6211 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to 1st Colonial's volatility include:
270 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 270 Days Economic Sensitivity |
1st Colonial Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of 1st daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use 1st's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of 1st Colonial volatility.
1st |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as 1st Colonial can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of 1st Colonial at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of 1st Colonial's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with 1st Pink Sheet
Moving against 1st Pink Sheet
| 0.82 | USB-PH | US Bancorp | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | CIHHF | China Merchants Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | CIHKY | China Merchants Bank | PairCorr |
1st Colonial Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
1st Colonial's beta coefficient measures the volatility of 1st pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents 1st pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, 1st Colonial's beta of 0.0152 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk 1st Colonial pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. 1st Colonial Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.25 and kurtosis of 1.76. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure 1st Colonial's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact 1st Colonial's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze 1st Colonial Bancorp Demand TrendCheck current 90 days 1st Colonial correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)1st Beta |
1st standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.03 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by 1st Colonial's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of 1st Colonial's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in 1st pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in 1st Colonial.
1st Colonial Bancorp Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which 1st Colonial pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with 1st Colonial's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of 1st Colonial's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of 1st Colonial's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures 1st Colonial's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict 1st Colonial's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for 1st Colonial's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on 1st Colonial's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. 1st Colonial Bancorp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
1st Colonial Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days 1st Colonial has a beta of 0.0152 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, 1st Colonial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 1st Colonial Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to 1st Colonial or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that 1st Colonial's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a 1st pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
1st Colonial Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a 1st Colonial Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.1st Colonial Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of 1st Colonial is -1171.89. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.06 and standard deviation of 1.03. The mean deviation of 1st Colonial Bancorp is currently at 0.59. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
1st Colonial Pink Sheet Return Volatility
1st Colonial historical daily return volatility represents how much of 1st Colonial pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 1.0316% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7626% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About 1st Colonial Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of 1st Colonial or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of 1st Colonial may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to 1st's beta indicator, it measures the risk of 1st Colonial and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of 1st Colonial fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.1st Colonial Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for 1st Colonial Community Bank that provides a range of business and consumer financial services in New Jersey. It operates two branch offices located in Collingswood and Westville, New Jersey and a loan production office in Haddonfield. 1st Colonial Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Cherry Hill, New Jersey. 1st Colonial operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.
1st Colonial's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on 1st Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much 1st Colonial's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize 1st Colonial's volatility to invest better
Higher 1st Colonial's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of 1st Colonial Bancorp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. 1st Colonial Bancorp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of 1st Colonial Bancorp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in 1st Colonial's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of 1st Colonial's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
1st Colonial Investment Opportunity
1st Colonial Bancorp has a volatility of 1.03 and is 1.36 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 9 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than 1st Colonial. You can use 1st Colonial Bancorp to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of 1st Colonial to be traded at $14.32 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between 1st Colonial Bancorp and DJI is 0.01 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding 1st Colonial Bancorp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
1st Colonial Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of 1st Colonial's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 1st Colonial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of 1st Colonial pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (7.86) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6211 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (951.05) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Variance | 1.09 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
1st Colonial Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against 1st Colonial as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. 1st Colonial's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, 1st Colonial's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to 1st Colonial Bancorp.
Complementary Tools for 1st Pink Sheet analysis
When running 1st Colonial's price analysis, check to measure 1st Colonial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1st Colonial is operating at the current time. Most of 1st Colonial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1st Colonial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1st Colonial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1st Colonial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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