Novacyt Sa Stock Volatility
| NVYTF Stock | USD 0.70 0.13 22.81% |
Novacyt SA has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0863, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0863% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Novacyt SA exposes twenty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Novacyt SA's Standard Deviation of 4.44, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Mean Deviation of 1.4 to check out the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Novacyt SA's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Novacyt SA Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Novacyt daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Novacyt's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Novacyt SA volatility.
Novacyt |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Novacyt SA can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Novacyt SA at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Novacyt SA's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with Novacyt Pink Sheet
Moving against Novacyt Pink Sheet
| 0.82 | SYK | Stryker | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | BSX | Boston Scientific Corp Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | DXCM | DexCom Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | EW | Edwards Lifesciences Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | ZBH | Zimmer Biomet Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | ABT | Abbott Laboratories Fiscal Year End 22nd of January 2025 | PairCorr |
Novacyt SA Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Novacyt SA's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Novacyt pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Novacyt pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Novacyt SA's beta of -0.37 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Novacyt SA pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Novacyt SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.12 and kurtosis of 20.23. Novacyt SA is a potential penny stock. Although Novacyt SA may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Novacyt SA. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Novacyt instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Novacyt SA Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Novacyt SA correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Novacyt Beta |
Novacyt standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.51 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Novacyt SA's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Novacyt SA's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in novacyt pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Novacyt SA.
Novacyt SA Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Novacyt SA pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Novacyt SA's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Novacyt SA's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Novacyt SA's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures Novacyt SA's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Novacyt SA's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Novacyt SA's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Novacyt SA's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Novacyt SA Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Novacyt SA Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Novacyt SA has a beta of -0.367 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Novacyt SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Novacyt SA is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Novacyt SA or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Novacyt SA's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Novacyt pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Novacyt SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Novacyt SA Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Novacyt SA Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Novacyt SA is -1159.23. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 20.36 and standard deviation of 4.51. The mean deviation of Novacyt SA is currently at 1.44. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.72
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Novacyt SA Pink Sheet Return Volatility
Novacyt SA historical daily return volatility represents how much of Novacyt SA pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 4.5125% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7252% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Novacyt SA Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Novacyt SA or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Novacyt SA may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Novacyt's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Novacyt SA and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Novacyt SA fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Novacyt S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, contract design, and commercialization of diagnostic products for cancer and infectious diseases in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Vlizy-Villacoublay, France. Novacyt operates under Medical Devices classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 210 people.
Novacyt SA's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Novacyt Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Novacyt SA's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Novacyt SA's volatility to invest better
Higher Novacyt SA's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Novacyt SA stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Novacyt SA stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Novacyt SA investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Novacyt SA's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Novacyt SA's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Novacyt SA Investment Opportunity
Novacyt SA has a volatility of 4.51 and is 6.18 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Novacyt SA is lower than 40 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Novacyt SA to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The pink sheet experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. The trend is possibly hyped up. Check odds of Novacyt SA to be traded at $0.875 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Novacyt SA and DJI is -0.06 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Novacyt SA and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Novacyt SA Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Novacyt SA's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Novacyt SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Novacyt SA pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.07 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,177) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.44 | |||
| Variance | 19.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Novacyt SA Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Novacyt SA as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Novacyt SA's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Novacyt SA's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Novacyt SA.
Complementary Tools for Novacyt Pink Sheet analysis
When running Novacyt SA's price analysis, check to measure Novacyt SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Novacyt SA is operating at the current time. Most of Novacyt SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Novacyt SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Novacyt SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Novacyt SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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