ZTO Price Fair Value from 2010 to 2024

ZTO Stock  USD 19.82  0.18  0.90%   
ZTO Express Price Fair Value yearly trend continues to be very stable with very little volatility. Price Fair Value is likely to drop to 1.93. During the period from 2010 to 2024, ZTO Express Price Fair Value quarterly data regression pattern had sample variance of  374.68 and median of  6.63. View All Fundamentals
 
Price Fair Value  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
2.03559503
Current Value
1.93
Quarterly Volatility
19.35675336
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
Check ZTO Express financial statements over time to gain insight into future company performance. You can evaluate financial statements to find patterns among ZTO Express' main balance sheet or income statement drivers, such as Discontinued Operations of 0.0, Depreciation And Amortization of 3 B or Interest Expense of 304 M, as well as many indicators such as Price To Sales Ratio of 3.01, Dividend Yield of 0.0179 or PTB Ratio of 1.93. ZTO financial statements analysis is a perfect complement when working with ZTO Express Valuation or Volatility modules.
  
Check out the analysis of ZTO Express Correlation against competitors.
To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.

Latest ZTO Express' Price Fair Value Growth Pattern

Below is the plot of the Price Fair Value of ZTO Express over the last few years. It is ZTO Express' Price Fair Value historical data analysis aims to capture in quantitative terms the overall pattern of either growth or decline in ZTO Express' overall financial position and show how it may be relating to other accounts over time.
Price Fair Value10 Years Trend
Slightly volatile
   Price Fair Value   
       Timeline  

ZTO Price Fair Value Regression Statistics

Arithmetic Mean18.41
Geometric Mean9.24
Coefficient Of Variation105.14
Mean Deviation17.39
Median6.63
Standard Deviation19.36
Sample Variance374.68
Range42.2701
R-Value(0.89)
Mean Square Error84.55
R-Squared0.79
Slope(3.85)
Total Sum of Squares5,246

ZTO Price Fair Value History

2024 1.93
2023 2.04
2022 2.8
2021 2.97
2020 3.09
2019 4.35
2018 4.59

About ZTO Express Financial Statements

ZTO Express investors utilize fundamental indicators, such as Price Fair Value, to predict how ZTO Stock might perform in the future. Analyzing these trends over time helps investors make informed market timing decisions. For further insights, please visit our fundamental analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Price Fair Value 2.04  1.93 

Pair Trading with ZTO Express

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ZTO Express position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ZTO Express will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against ZTO Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to ZTO Express could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ZTO Express when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ZTO Express - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ZTO Express to buy it.
The correlation of ZTO Express is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ZTO Express moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ZTO Express moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ZTO Express can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether ZTO Express offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ZTO Express' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zto Express Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zto Express Stock:
Check out the analysis of ZTO Express Correlation against competitors.
To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. If investors know ZTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZTO Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.028
Earnings Share
1.44
Revenue Per Share
50.089
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.101
Return On Assets
0.0775
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZTO Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.