Zto Express Stock Analysis
| ZTO Stock | USD 21.33 0.51 2.34% |
ZTO Express holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.153. At this time, ZTO Express' Interest Debt Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 8th of January 2026, Debt To Assets is likely to grow to 0.18, while Long Term Debt is likely to drop 0.00. With a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce ZTO Express' Earnings Per Share (EPS).
Asset vs Debt
Equity vs Debt
ZTO Express' liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. ZTO Express' cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps ZTO Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect ZTO Express' stakeholders.
For most companies, including ZTO Express, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for ZTO Express, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, ZTO Express' management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
At this time, ZTO Express' Total Current Liabilities is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 8th of January 2026, Non Current Liabilities Total is likely to grow to about 2 B, while Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop about 53.2 B. ZTO Express is undervalued with Real Value of 23.72 and Target Price of 23.8. The main objective of ZTO Express stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what ZTO Express is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of ZTO Express' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The ZTO Express stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. ZTO Express is usually not traded on Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday. ZTO Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. ZTO Stock Analysis Notes
The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.86. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. ZTO Express has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2025. ZTO Express Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the Peoples Republic of China. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the Peoples Republic of China. Zto Express operates under Integrated Freight Logistics classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 23865 people. For more information please call Meisong Lai at 86 21 5980 4508 or visit https://www.zto.com.ZTO Express Quarterly Total Revenue |
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ZTO Express Investment Alerts
| ZTO Express has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: These 4 Measures Indicate That ZTO Express Is Using Debt Reasonably Well |
ZTO Express Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by ZTO Express to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
| 20th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 15th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 20th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
ZTO Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact ZTO Express' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020-05-20 | 2020-03-31 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 0.1 | 13 | ||
2018-05-09 | 2018-03-31 | 0.97 | 0.78 | -0.19 | 19 | ||
2021-03-17 | 2020-12-31 | 1.78 | 1.55 | -0.23 | 12 |
ZTO Express Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
ZTO Express' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates ZTO Express' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of ZTO Express' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect ZTO Express' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.
ZTO Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Healthcare Of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund | 2025-06-30 | 1.7 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2025-06-30 | 1.7 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 1.7 M | Citigroup Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.5 M | Todd Asset Management | 2025-06-30 | 1.4 M | American Century Companies Inc | 2025-06-30 | 986 K | State Street Corp | 2025-06-30 | 915.5 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-06-30 | 831.2 K | Teachers Retirement System Of The State Of Kentucky | 2025-06-30 | 826.9 K | Harding Loevner L.p. | 2025-06-30 | 12.3 M | Temasek Holdings Ltd. | 2025-06-30 | 10.4 M |
ZTO Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 17.19 B.ZTO Profitablity
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.19 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.2 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.2 of operating income.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.12 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.21 | 0.17 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.10 | 0.11 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | 0.14 |
Management Efficiency
ZTO Express has Return on Asset of 0.0732 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0732 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1421 %, implying that it generated $0.1421 on every 100 dollars invested. ZTO Express' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well ZTO Express manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, ZTO Express' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 8th of January 2026, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.11, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.17. At this time, ZTO Express' Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 68.46 | 36.92 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 57.06 | 29.44 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 9.25 | 8.79 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 2.17 | 2.06 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 9.25 | 8.79 | |
| Price Fair Value | 2.17 | 2.06 | |
| Enterprise Value | 139.1 B | 155.6 B |
Understanding the operational decisions made by ZTO Express management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Technical Drivers
As of the 8th of January, ZTO Express maintains the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.108, mean deviation of 0.9942, and Downside Deviation of 1.23. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check available technical drivers of ZTO Express, as well as the relationship between them.ZTO Express Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Parabolic SAR indicator is used to determine the direction of ZTO Express's momentum and the point in time when ZTO Express has higher than normal probability directional change.
ZTO Express Outstanding Bonds
ZTO Express issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. ZTO Express uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most ZTO bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when ZTO Express has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| US98981BAA08 Corp BondUS98981BAA08 | View | |
| US98980BAA17 Corp BondUS98980BAA17 | View |
ZTO Express Predictive Daily Indicators
ZTO Express intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of ZTO Express stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 18269.74 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.55) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 21.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 21.44 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.42) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.51) |
ZTO Express Corporate Filings
6K | 5th of January 2026 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
6K | 31st of December 2025 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
6K | 29th of December 2025 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
6K | 4th of December 2025 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
6K | 1st of December 2025 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
6K | 21st of November 2025 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
6K | 20th of November 2025 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
6K | 19th of November 2025 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
ZTO Express Forecast Models
ZTO Express' time-series forecasting models are one of many ZTO Express' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ZTO Express' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.ZTO Express Bond Ratings
ZTO Express financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much ZTO Express have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for ZTO Express' borrowing costs.| Piotroski F Score | 7 | Strong | View |
| Beneish M Score | (2.65) | Unlikely Manipulator | View |
ZTO Express Debt to Cash Allocation
As ZTO Express follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. ZTO Express' decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors.
ZTO Express has 17.35 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.15, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. ZTO Express has a current ratio of 1.23, demonstrating that it may not have the ability to pay its financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for ZTO to invest in growth at high rates of return. ZTO Express Total Assets Over Time
ZTO Express Assets Financed by Debt
The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which ZTO Express uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.ZTO Express Debt Ratio | 18.0 |
ZTO Express Corporate Bonds Issued
ZTO Short Long Term Debt Total
Short Long Term Debt Total |
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About ZTO Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how ZTO Express prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling ZTO shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as ZTO Express. By using and applying ZTO Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying ZTO entry and exit points for their positions.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.24 | 0.20 | |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.24 | 0.18 | |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.18 | 0.16 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.36 | 0.32 |
Current ZTO Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. ZTO analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. ZTO analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 23.8 | Strong Buy | 21 | Odds |
Most ZTO analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand ZTO stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of ZTO Express, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to ZTO conference calls.
ZTO Stock Analysis Indicators
ZTO Express stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how ZTO Express stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading ZTO Express shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying ZTO Express stock analysis, traders can identify ZTO Express position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 13.1 B | |
| Total Stockholder Equity | 62.1 B | |
| Capital Lease Obligations | 561.1 M | |
| Property Plant And Equipment Net | 34.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.3 B | |
| Cash | 13.5 B | |
| 50 Day M A | 20.1408 | |
| Net Interest Income | 655.6 M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 28.3 B | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 13.3156 | |
| Stock Based Compensation | 318.7 M | |
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 838.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -6 B | |
| Tax Provision | 2.8 B | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.069 | |
| Accounts Payable | 2.5 B | |
| Net Debt | 3.9 B | |
| Other Operating Expenses | 32.5 B | |
| Non Current Assets Total | 62 B | |
| Liabilities And Stockholders Equity | 92.3 B | |
| Non Currrent Assets Other | 2.2 B |
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. If investors know ZTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZTO Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.069 | Dividend Share 4.79 | Earnings Share 1.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.111 |
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZTO Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.