Zto Express Stock Analysis

ZTO Stock  USD 21.97  0.29  1.34%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for ZTO Express extending back to October 27, 2016. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of ZTO Express stands at 21.97, as last reported on the 29th of January, with the highest price reaching 21.97 and the lowest price hitting 21.68 during the day.
IPO Date
27th of October 2016
200 Day MA
19.2763
50 Day MA
20.992
Beta
(0.20)
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
ZTO Express holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.153. At this time, ZTO Express' Interest Debt Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 29th of January 2026, Debt To Assets is likely to grow to 0.18, while Long Term Debt is likely to drop 0.00. With a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce ZTO Express' Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

ZTO Express' liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. ZTO Express' cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps ZTO Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect ZTO Express' stakeholders.
For most companies, including ZTO Express, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for ZTO Express, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, ZTO Express' management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
1.832
Enterprise Value Ebitda
9.1405
Price Sales
0.3591
Shares Float
403.6 M
Dividend Share
4.79
As of the 29th of January 2026, Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is likely to grow to 0.01, while Total Stockholder Equity is likely to drop about 39.8 B. . As of the 29th of January 2026, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 11.33, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 2.89.
ZTO Express is undervalued with Real Value of 25.1 and Target Price of 23.87. The main objective of ZTO Express stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what ZTO Express is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of ZTO Express' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The ZTO Express stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. ZTO Express is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day ( substitute day ), Independence Day. ZTO Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.

ZTO Stock Analysis Notes

The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.83. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. ZTO Express has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.98. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2025. ZTO Express Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the Peoples Republic of China. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the Peoples Republic of China. Zto Express operates under Integrated Freight Logistics classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 23865 people. For more information please call Meisong Lai at 86 21 5980 4508 or visit https://www.zto.com.

ZTO Express Quarterly Total Revenue

11.8 Billion

ZTO Express Investment Alerts

ZTO Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact ZTO Express' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-05-20
2020-03-310.720.820.113 
2018-05-09
2018-03-310.970.78-0.1919 
2021-03-17
2020-12-311.781.55-0.2312 
View All Earnings Estimates

ZTO Express Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

ZTO Express' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates ZTO Express' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of ZTO Express' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect ZTO Express' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

ZTO Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Healthcare Of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund2025-06-30
1.7 M
Legal & General Group Plc2025-06-30
1.7 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
1.7 M
Citigroup Inc2025-06-30
1.5 M
Todd Asset Management2025-06-30
1.4 M
American Century Companies Inc2025-06-30
986 K
State Street Corp2025-06-30
915.5 K
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
831.2 K
Teachers Retirement System Of The State Of Kentucky2025-06-30
826.9 K
Harding Loevner L.p.2025-06-30
12.3 M
Temasek Holdings Ltd.2025-06-30
10.4 M
Note, although ZTO Express' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ZTO Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 17.06 B.

ZTO Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.19 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.2 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.2 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.21  0.17 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.11 
Return On Equity 0.16  0.14 

Management Efficiency

ZTO Express has Return on Asset of 0.0732 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0732 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1421 %, implying that it generated $0.1421 on every 100 dollars invested. ZTO Express' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well ZTO Express manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, ZTO Express' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 29th of January 2026, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.11, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.17. At this time, ZTO Express' Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 68.46  36.92 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 57.06  29.44 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.25  8.79 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.17  2.06 
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.25  8.79 
Price Fair Value 2.17  2.06 
Enterprise Value139.1 B155.6 B
Understanding the operational decisions made by ZTO Express management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Dividend Yield
0.03
Operating Margin
0.2027
Profit Margin
0.186
Forward Dividend Yield
0.03
Beta
(0.20)

Technical Drivers

As of the 29th of January, ZTO Express maintains the Downside Deviation of 1.2, mean deviation of 1.03, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1235. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check available technical drivers of ZTO Express, as well as the relationship between them.

ZTO Express Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. ZTO Express middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for ZTO Express. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

ZTO Express Outstanding Bonds

ZTO Express issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. ZTO Express uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most ZTO bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when ZTO Express has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

ZTO Express Predictive Daily Indicators

ZTO Express intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of ZTO Express stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

ZTO Express Corporate Filings

6K
20th of January 2026
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
5th of January 2026
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
31st of December 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
29th of December 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
4th of December 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
1st of December 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
21st of November 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
20th of November 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify

ZTO Express Forecast Models

ZTO Express' time-series forecasting models are one of many ZTO Express' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ZTO Express' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

ZTO Express Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as ZTO Express, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. As growth matures, cash generation strengthens while deployment opportunities diminish. At this juncture, management may return capital to shareholders through buybacks or increased dividend payments.
ZTO Express has 17.35 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.15, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. ZTO Express has a current ratio of 1.23, demonstrating that it may not have the ability to pay its financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for ZTO to invest in growth at high rates of return.

ZTO Express Total Assets Over Time

ZTO Express Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which ZTO Express uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

ZTO Express Debt Ratio

    
  18.0   
It appears that most of the ZTO Express' assets are financed through equity. Firms exhibiting elevated asset-to-liability ratios demonstrate pronounced financial leverage. For ZTO Express, increasing ratios correlate with heightened business risk profiles. Additionally, heavy reliance on debt financing restricts future credit access and diminishes operational flexibility.

ZTO Express Corporate Bonds Issued

ZTO Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

20.94 Billion

At this time, ZTO Express' Short and Long Term Debt Total is very stable compared to the past year.

About ZTO Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how ZTO Express prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling ZTO shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as ZTO Express. By using and applying ZTO Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying ZTO entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.24  0.20 
Operating Profit Margin 0.24  0.18 
Net Profit Margin 0.18  0.16 
Gross Profit Margin 0.36  0.32 

Current ZTO Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. ZTO analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. ZTO analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
23.87Strong Buy21Odds
ZTO Express current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most ZTO analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand ZTO stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of ZTO Express, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to ZTO conference calls.
ZTO Analyst Advice Details

ZTO Stock Analysis Indicators

ZTO Express stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how ZTO Express stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading ZTO Express shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying ZTO Express stock analysis, traders can identify ZTO Express position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow13.1 B
Total Stockholder Equity62.1 B
Capital Lease Obligations561.1 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net34.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments22.3 B
Cash13.5 B
50 Day M A20.992
Net Interest Income655.6 M
Total Current Liabilities28.3 B
Forward Price Earnings13.089
Interest Expense337.9 M
Stock Based Compensation318.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding838.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-6 B
Tax Provision2.8 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.069
Accounts Payable2.5 B
Net Debt3.9 B
Other Operating Expenses32.5 B
Non Current Assets Total62 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity92.3 B
Non Currrent Assets Other2.2 B
When determining whether ZTO Express offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ZTO Express' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zto Express Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zto Express Stock:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Will Air Freight & Logistics sector continue expanding? Could ZTO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. Anticipated expansion of ZTO directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every ZTO Express data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.069
Dividend Share
4.79
Earnings Share
1.55
Revenue Per Share
59.361
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.111
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, ZTO Express' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.