Zto Express Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ZTO Stock | USD 18.99 0.29 1.50% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ZTO Express is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of ZTO Express' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out ZTO Express Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ZTO and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
ZTO |
Execute ZTO Express Buy or Sell Advice
The ZTO recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ZTO Express. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ZTO Express or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ZTO Express' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
ZTO Express Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| ZTO Express generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ZTO Express has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 17th of October 2024 ZTO Express paid $ 0.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ZTO Express Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Beats Expectations |
ZTO Express Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of ZTO Express' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ZTO Express' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ZTO Express daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ZTO Express price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ZTO Express returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ZTO Express.
| Mean Return | -0.07 | Value At Risk | -3.6 | Potential Upside | 3.32 | Standard Deviation | 2.41 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ZTO Express historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
ZTO Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as ZTO Express, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ZTO Express back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 6.5 M | Aspex Management (hk) Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 5.2 M | Serenity Capital Management Pte Ltd. | 2024-09-30 | 5.1 M | Greenwoods Asset Management Hong Kong Ltd. | 2024-06-30 | 5 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-06-30 | 4.3 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2024-09-30 | 3.7 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 3.5 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 3.4 M | Hillhouse Capital Advisors, Ltd. | 2024-09-30 | 3 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 19 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 17.6 M |
ZTO Express Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (9.6M) | (32K) | (9.2M) | (30.0M) | 12.5M | 13.1M | |
| Investments | (3.7B) | (3.5B) | (8.8B) | (16.0B) | (17.8B) | (16.9B) | |
| Change In Cash | 654.5M | 9.1B | (4.6B) | 2.8B | 448.2M | 425.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.1B | (4.3B) | (2.1B) | 3.1B | 6.7B | 7.0B | |
| Depreciation | 853.7M | 1.3B | 1.8B | 2.2B | 2.9B | 3.0B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (647.6M) | 185.1M | 102.1M | 4.4B | 1.5M | 1.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 5.2B | 9.2B | 9.3B | 8.4B | 6.7B | 5.6B | |
| Net Income | 4.4B | 5.7B | 4.3B | 4.7B | 8.8B | 9.2B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 5.3B | 14.4B | 9.8B | 12.6B | 13.1B | 8.7B | |
| Change To Netincome | (374.3M) | (1.2B) | 243.6M | 206.8M | 186.2M | 195.5M |
ZTO Express Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ZTO Express or Air Freight & Logistics sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ZTO Express' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ZTO stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
ZTO Express Volatility Alert
ZTO Express exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.73 and kurtosis of 1.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ZTO Express' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ZTO Express' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.ZTO Express Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing ZTO Express' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ZTO Express' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ZTO Express and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ZTO Express or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ZTO Express' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ZTO Express by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare ZTO Express to competition |
| Fundamentals | ZTO Express | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0775 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.21 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.30 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 15.05 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 598.04 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.68 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 29.42 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 20.63 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 27.47 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.85 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.39 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 38.42 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 9.04 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 13.85 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 8.75 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 11.69 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 18.70 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 15.44 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.15 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 74.31 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 13.36 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.27 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.45 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.22 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 196.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 23.91 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | -0.088 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.69 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 88.47 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 36.3 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 6.89 B | 1.48 B |
ZTO Express Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ZTO . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 164595.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.60) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.13 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.29) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.29) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 37.64 |
About ZTO Express Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell ZTO Express? Buying financial instruments such as ZTO Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having ZTO Express in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Consumer Staples ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Consumer Staples ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Consumer Staples ETFs theme has 13 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Staples ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out ZTO Express Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. If investors know ZTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZTO Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.028 | Earnings Share 1.45 | Revenue Per Share 50.089 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.101 | Return On Assets 0.0775 |
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZTO Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.