ZTO Express Valuation
| ZTO Stock | USD 18.99 0.29 1.50% |
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. ZTO Express maintains a prevalent Real Value of $24.47 per share. The last-minute price of the company is $18.99. Our model calculates the value of ZTO Express from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.21 %, return on equity of 0.15, and Current Valuation of 15.05 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting ZTO Express' valuation include:
Price Book 1.8514 | Enterprise Value 15.1 B | Enterprise Value Ebitda 9.5809 | Price Sales 0.3886 | Forward PE 10.5263 |
Undervalued
Today
Please note that ZTO Express' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of ZTO Express is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing ZTO Express' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since ZTO Express is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of ZTO Stock. However, ZTO Express' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 18.99 | Real 24.47 | Target 38.11 | Hype 19.27 | Naive 19.27 |
The intrinsic value of ZTO Express' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence ZTO Express' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of ZTO Express helps investors to forecast how ZTO stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of ZTO Express more accurately as focusing exclusively on ZTO Express' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use ZTO Express' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of ZTO Express' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against ZTO Express' closest peers.
ZTO Express Cash |
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ZTO Valuation Trend
Knowing ZTO Express' actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both ZTO Express' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.
ZTO Express Total Value Analysis
ZTO Express is at this time anticipated to have company total value of 15.05 B with market capitalization of 15.69 B, debt of 15.44 B, and cash on hands of 11.69 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the ZTO Express fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
15.05 B | 15.69 B | 15.44 B | 11.69 B |
ZTO Express Investor Information
About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.85. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. ZTO Express has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of September 2024. Based on the key indicators related to ZTO Express' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, ZTO Express may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
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| Operating Profit Margin | 0.24 | 0.2605 |
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| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 14 B | 13.4 B |
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| Operating Income | 10.5 B | 10 B |
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ZTO Express Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. ZTO Express has an asset utilization ratio of 43.43 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.43 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that ZTO Express is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.ZTO Express Ownership Allocation
ZTO Express retains a total of 598.04 Million outstanding shares. Roughly 67.9 (%) of ZTO Express outstanding shares are held by general public with 2.68 % owned by insiders and only 29.42 percent by institutional investors. Please note that on May 15, 2024, Representative Josh Gottheimer of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of ZTO Express's common stock.ZTO Express Profitability Analysis
The company reported the last year's revenue of 38.42 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 8.75 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.04 B.ZTO Express Past Distributions to stockholders
About ZTO Express Valuation
We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of ZTO Express. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of ZTO Express based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing ZTO Express's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of ZTO Express's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of ZTO Express. We calculate exposure to ZTO Express's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of ZTO Express's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 11.7 B | 6.2 B | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.28 | 0.28 | |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.26 | 0.24 | |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.23 | 0.16 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.30 | 0.32 |
ZTO Express Quarterly Retained Earnings |
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A single share of ZTO Express represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of ZTO, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.
ZTO Express Dividends Analysis For Valuation
Please note that ZTO Express has scaled down on payment of dividends at this time. At this time, ZTO Express' Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to 0.08, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 13.22.
There are various types of dividends ZTO Express can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of ZTO shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from ZTO Express directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When ZTO pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of ZTO Express by the value of the dividends paid out.
ZTO Express Growth Indicators
Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 838.9 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.028 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 10.5263 |
ZTO Express Current Valuation Indicators
ZTO Express' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final ZTO Express' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as ZTO Express, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use ZTO Express' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes ZTO Express' worth.When determining whether ZTO Express offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ZTO Express' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zto Express Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zto Express Stock: Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. If investors know ZTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZTO Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.028 | Earnings Share 1.45 | Revenue Per Share 50.089 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.101 | Return On Assets 0.0775 |
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZTO Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.