Zto Express Stock Technical Analysis
| ZTO Stock | USD 24.09 0.46 1.95% |
As of the 8th of February, ZTO Express maintains the Downside Deviation of 1.23, risk adjusted performance of 0.2237, and Mean Deviation of 1.1. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check available technical drivers of ZTO Express, as well as the relationship between them.
ZTO Express Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as ZTO, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ZTOZTO Express' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.ZTO Express Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 24.35 | Strong Buy | 21 | Odds |
Most ZTO analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand ZTO stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of ZTO Express, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to ZTO conference calls.
Will Air Freight & Logistics sector continue expanding? Could ZTO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. Anticipated expansion of ZTO directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every ZTO Express data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.069 | Dividend Share 4.79 | Earnings Share 1.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.111 |
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, ZTO Express' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
ZTO Express 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ZTO Express' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ZTO Express.
| 11/10/2025 |
| 02/08/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in ZTO Express on November 10, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ZTO Express or generate 0.0% return on investment in ZTO Express over 90 days. ZTO Express is related to or competes with JB Hunt, Expeditors International, XPO Logistics, LATAM Airlines, Textron, CH Robinson, and Allegion PLC. ZTO Express Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the Peoples Republic of China More
ZTO Express Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ZTO Express' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ZTO Express upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2088 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.33 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.81) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.83 |
ZTO Express Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ZTO Express' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ZTO Express' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ZTO Express historical prices to predict the future ZTO Express' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2237 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3233 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2349 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2403 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5824 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ZTO Express' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ZTO Express February 8, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2237 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5924 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8231 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 367.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2088 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3233 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2349 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2403 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5824 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.33 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.81) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6775 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3408 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.461 |
ZTO Express Backtested Returns
ZTO Express appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. ZTO Express shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.28, which attests that the company had a 0.28 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for ZTO Express, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please utilize ZTO Express' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2237, downside deviation of 1.23, and Mean Deviation of 1.1 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, ZTO Express holds a performance score of 21. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.64, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ZTO Express' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ZTO Express is expected to be smaller as well. Please check ZTO Express' downside variance, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether ZTO Express' historical returns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.67 |
Good predictability
ZTO Express has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ZTO Express time series from 10th of November 2025 to 25th of December 2025 and 25th of December 2025 to 8th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ZTO Express price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current ZTO Express price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.67 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.63 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.59 |
ZTO Express technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
ZTO Express Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of ZTO Express volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About ZTO Express Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of ZTO Express on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of ZTO Express based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on ZTO Express price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding ZTO Express. By analyzing ZTO Express's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of ZTO Express's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to ZTO Express specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.017 | 0.0479 | 0.0431 | 0.0452 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.17 | 2.64 | 3.04 | 2.89 |
ZTO Express February 8, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of ZTO help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ZTO from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze ZTO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2237 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5924 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8231 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 367.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2088 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3233 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2349 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2403 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5824 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.33 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.81) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6775 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3408 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.461 |
ZTO Express February 8, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ZTO stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.98 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 23.91 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 23.97 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.41 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.47 |
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty. To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Will Air Freight & Logistics sector continue expanding? Could ZTO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. Anticipated expansion of ZTO directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every ZTO Express data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.069 | Dividend Share 4.79 | Earnings Share 1.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.111 |
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, ZTO Express' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.