Asbury Automotive Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ABG Stock | USD 240.19 5.43 2.31% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Asbury Automotive Group on the next trading day is expected to be 239.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 211.14. Asbury Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Asbury Automotive's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Asbury Automotive's share price is above 70 as of 5th of January 2026. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Asbury, making its price go up or down. Momentum 77
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Asbury Automotive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Asbury Automotive Group from the perspective of Asbury Automotive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Asbury Automotive Group on the next trading day is expected to be 239.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 211.14. Asbury Automotive after-hype prediction price | USD 243.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Asbury Automotive to cross-verify your projections. Asbury Automotive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Asbury price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Asbury using various technical indicators. When you analyze Asbury charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Asbury Automotive Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Asbury Automotive Group on the next trading day is expected to be 239.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.58, mean absolute percentage error of 21.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 211.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Asbury Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Asbury Automotive's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Asbury Automotive Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Asbury Automotive | Asbury Automotive Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Asbury Automotive Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Asbury Automotive's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Asbury Automotive's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 238.08 and 241.82, respectively. We have considered Asbury Automotive's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Asbury Automotive stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Asbury Automotive stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.8027 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.5787 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0153 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 211.141 |
Predictive Modules for Asbury Automotive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asbury Automotive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Asbury Automotive
For every potential investor in Asbury, whether a beginner or expert, Asbury Automotive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Asbury Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Asbury. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Asbury Automotive's price trends.Asbury Automotive Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Asbury Automotive stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Asbury Automotive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Asbury Automotive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Asbury Automotive Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Asbury Automotive's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Asbury Automotive's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Asbury Automotive Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Asbury Automotive stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Asbury Automotive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Asbury Automotive stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Asbury Automotive Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Asbury Automotive Risk Indicators
The analysis of Asbury Automotive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Asbury Automotive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asbury stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.49 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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When determining whether Asbury Automotive is a strong investment it is important to analyze Asbury Automotive's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Asbury Automotive's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Asbury Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Asbury Automotive to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Asbury Automotive. If investors know Asbury will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Asbury Automotive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Asbury Automotive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Asbury that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Asbury Automotive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Asbury Automotive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Asbury Automotive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Asbury Automotive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Asbury Automotive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Asbury Automotive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asbury Automotive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.