Enact Holdings Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

ACT Etf  USD 39.81  0.28  0.70%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Enact Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 39.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.41. Enact Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Enact Holdings' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Enact Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Enact Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Enact Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.1216
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.4803
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.6534
Wall Street Target Price
41.6
Using Enact Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enact Holdings from the perspective of Enact Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Enact Holdings using Enact Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Enact using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Enact Holdings' stock price.

Enact Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.65  
Enact Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Enact Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Enact Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Enact Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Enact Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Enact Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 39.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.41.

Enact Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 39.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enact Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Enact Etf please use our How to Invest in Enact Holdings guide.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Enact Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Enact Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Enact Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Enact Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Enact Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Enact Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Enact Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Enact. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Enact Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Enact price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enact using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enact charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Enact Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Enact Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Enact Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Enact Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 39.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enact Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enact Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Enact Holdings Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Enact HoldingsEnact Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Enact Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Enact Holdings' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enact Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.31 and 40.64, respectively. We have considered Enact Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.81
39.47
Expected Value
40.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enact Holdings etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enact Holdings etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6831
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.426
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0113
SAESum of the absolute errors26.415
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Enact Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Enact Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Enact Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enact Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enact Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.6539.8140.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.8339.9941.15
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.8641.6046.18
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.111.101.13
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Enact Holdings

For every potential investor in Enact, whether a beginner or expert, Enact Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enact Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enact. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enact Holdings' price trends.

Enact Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enact Holdings etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enact Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enact Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Enact Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Enact Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Enact Holdings' current price.

Enact Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enact Holdings etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enact Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enact Holdings etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Enact Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Enact Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Enact Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enact Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enact etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in Enact Etf

Enact Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Enact Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Enact with respect to the benefits of owning Enact Holdings security.