Enact Holdings Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ACT Etf | USD 38.82 0.78 1.97% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Enact Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 39.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.89. Enact Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Enact Holdings' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1216 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.4759 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.6573 | Wall Street Target Price 42.2 |
Using Enact Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enact Holdings from the perspective of Enact Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Enact Holdings using Enact Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Enact using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Enact Holdings' stock price.
Enact Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Enact Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Enact Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Enact Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Enact Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Enact Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Enact Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 39.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.89. Enact Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 38.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enact Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Enact contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Enact Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Enact Holdings trading at USD 38.82, that is roughly USD 0.0131 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Enact Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Enact Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Enact Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Enact Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Enact Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Enact Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Enact Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Enact Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Enact Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Enact. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Enact Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Enact price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enact using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enact charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Enact Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Enact Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 39.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enact Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enact Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Enact Holdings Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Enact Holdings | Enact Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Enact Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Enact Holdings' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enact Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.91 and 40.51, respectively. We have considered Enact Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enact Holdings etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enact Holdings etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3146 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0953 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4387 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0114 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.885 |
Predictive Modules for Enact Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enact Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enact Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Enact Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Enact Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Enact Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Enact Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Enact Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Enact Holdings' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Enact Holdings' historical news coverage. Enact Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.55 and 40.15, respectively. We have considered Enact Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Enact Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Enact Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Enact Holdings Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Enact Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Enact Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Enact Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.30 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.82 | 38.85 | 0.08 |
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Enact Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Enact Holdings is traded for 38.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Enact is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 38.85 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Enact Holdings is about 1756.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.83. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.2 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 688.07 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 894.56 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enact Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Enact Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Enact Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Enact Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Enact Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Enact Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ESNT | Essent Group | 0.15 | 10 per month | 1.26 | (0.01) | 1.65 | (2.05) | 8.39 | |
| RDN | Radian Group | 0.08 | 10 per month | 1.62 | (0.04) | 1.95 | (2.00) | 10.62 | |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corp | (0.20) | 12 per month | 1.78 | (0.06) | 1.56 | (1.96) | 12.19 | |
| AGO | Assured Guaranty | 0.76 | 10 per month | 0.92 | (0.01) | 1.86 | (1.26) | 10.58 | |
| NMIH | NMI Holdings | (0.36) | 15 per month | 1.78 | 0.02 | 2.16 | (2.55) | 12.17 | |
| LCSHF | Lancashire Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 11.24 | (5.62) | 32.42 | |
| EIG | Employers Holdings | 0.53 | 11 per month | 1.66 | 0.02 | 2.14 | (2.15) | 7.78 | |
| FACO | First Acceptance Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.10 | 3.95 | (2.38) | 24.69 | |
| FAF | First American | 0.07 | 11 per month | 1.28 | 0.03 | 2.68 | (2.37) | 6.39 | |
| TIPT | Tiptree | (0.29) | 10 per month | 1.27 | (0.05) | 2.14 | (1.86) | 7.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Enact Holdings
For every potential investor in Enact, whether a beginner or expert, Enact Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enact Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enact. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enact Holdings' price trends.Enact Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enact Holdings etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enact Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enact Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Enact Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enact Holdings etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enact Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enact Holdings etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Enact Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 38.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 38.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.39) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.78) |
Enact Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Enact Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enact Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enact etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.988 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.82 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Enact Holdings
The number of cover stories for Enact Holdings depends on current market conditions and Enact Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Enact Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Enact Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Enact Holdings Short Properties
Enact Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Enact Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Enact Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Enact Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enact Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 157.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Other Information on Investing in Enact Etf
Enact Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Enact Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Enact with respect to the benefits of owning Enact Holdings security.