Analog Devices Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| ADI Stock | USD 318.70 1.07 0.34% |
Analog Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Analog Devices' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Analog Devices' share price is above 70 as of 29th of January 2026. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Analog, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.661 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.9871 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.4515 | Wall Street Target Price 313.3125 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.2348 |
Using Analog Devices hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Analog Devices from the perspective of Analog Devices response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Analog Devices using Analog Devices' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Analog using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Analog Devices' stock price.
Analog Devices Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Analog Devices' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Analog. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Analog Devices stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 240.741 | Short Percent 0.0207 | Short Ratio 2.68 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.2 M | 50 Day MA 275.4122 |
Analog Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Analog Devices on the next trading day is expected to be 314.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 450.58.Analog Devices Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Analog Devices' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Analog. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Analog can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Analog Devices. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Analog Devices' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Analog Devices.
Analog Devices Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
Analog Devices' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Analog Devices stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Analog Devices' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Analog Devices stock will not fluctuate a lot when Analog Devices' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Analog Devices on the next trading day is expected to be 314.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 450.58. Analog Devices after-hype prediction price | USD 318.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Analog Devices to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Analog contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Analog Devices will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Analog Devices trading at USD 318.7, that is roughly USD 0.0737 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Analog Devices' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Analog Devices options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Analog Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Analog Devices' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Analog Devices' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Analog Devices stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Analog Devices' open interest, investors have to compare it to Analog Devices' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Analog Devices is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Analog. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Analog Devices Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Analog price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Analog using various technical indicators. When you analyze Analog charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Analog Devices Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Analog Devices on the next trading day is expected to be 314.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.39, mean absolute percentage error of 88.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 450.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Analog Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Analog Devices' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Analog Devices Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Analog Devices | Analog Devices Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Analog Devices Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Analog Devices' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Analog Devices' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 313.10 and 316.83, respectively. We have considered Analog Devices' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Analog Devices stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Analog Devices stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.5894 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.3866 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0281 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 450.5841 |
Predictive Modules for Analog Devices
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Analog Devices. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Analog Devices' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Analog Devices After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Analog Devices at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Analog Devices or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Analog Devices, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Analog Devices Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Analog Devices' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Analog Devices' historical news coverage. Analog Devices' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 316.83 and 320.57, respectively. We have considered Analog Devices' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Analog Devices is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Analog Devices is based on 3 months time horizon.
Analog Devices Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Analog Devices is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Analog Devices backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Analog Devices, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 1.87 | 3.19 | 1.48 | 10 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
318.70 | 318.70 | 0.00 |
|
Analog Devices Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Analog Devices is traded for 318.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.48. Analog is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 31.11%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Analog Devices is about 66.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 320.18. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Analog Devices was presently reported as 69.06. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. Analog Devices last dividend was issued on the 8th of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 16th of March 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Analog Devices to cross-verify your projections.Analog Devices Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Analog Devices' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Analog Devices' future price movements. Getting to know how Analog Devices' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Analog Devices may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TXN | Texas Instruments Incorporated | 13.99 | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.16 | 4.19 | (2.39) | 11.75 | |
| DELL | Dell Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.84 | (4.81) | 13.28 | |
| KLAC | KLA Tencor | 13.99 | 11 per month | 2.13 | 0.19 | 4.89 | (4.19) | 12.91 | |
| MSTR | MicroStrategy Incorporated | (0.06) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 5.01 | (7.76) | 15.64 | |
| CDNS | Cadence Design Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.67 | (3.17) | 9.36 | |
| SNPS | Synopsys | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.38 | 0.02 | 3.78 | (4.05) | 9.95 | |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.19 | (5.61) | 15.18 | |
| NXPI | NXP Semiconductors NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | 0.06 | 4.62 | (2.84) | 12.56 | |
| STM | STMicroelectronics NV ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | 0.14 | 5.16 | (2.91) | 10.54 | |
| MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.26 | 0.1 | 3.91 | (4.21) | 9.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for Analog Devices
For every potential investor in Analog, whether a beginner or expert, Analog Devices' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Analog Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Analog. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Analog Devices' price trends.Analog Devices Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Analog Devices stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Analog Devices could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Analog Devices by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Analog Devices Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Analog Devices stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Analog Devices shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Analog Devices stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Analog Devices entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Analog Devices Risk Indicators
The analysis of Analog Devices' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Analog Devices' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting analog stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Variance | 3.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Analog Devices
The number of cover stories for Analog Devices depends on current market conditions and Analog Devices' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Analog Devices is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Analog Devices' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Analog Devices Short Properties
Analog Devices' future price predictability will typically decrease when Analog Devices' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Analog Devices often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Analog Devices' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Analog Devices' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 496.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.7 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Analog Devices to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Analog Stock please use our How to Invest in Analog Devices guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is there potential for Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment market expansion? Will Analog introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Analog Devices. If investors know Analog will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Analog Devices listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.661 | Dividend Share 3.96 | Earnings Share 4.57 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.259 |
Understanding Analog Devices requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Analog's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Analog Devices' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Analog Devices' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Analog Devices' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Analog Devices represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Analog Devices' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.