Archer Daniels Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| ADM Stock | USD 67.34 0.05 0.07% |
Archer Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Archer Daniels' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Archer Daniels' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Archer Daniels fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Archer Daniels' stock price is about 64. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Archer, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.891 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2239 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.2427 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.7174 | Wall Street Target Price 57.9091 |
Using Archer Daniels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Archer Daniels Midland from the perspective of Archer Daniels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Archer Daniels using Archer Daniels' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Archer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Archer Daniels' stock price.
Archer Daniels Short Interest
An investor who is long Archer Daniels may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Archer Daniels and may potentially protect profits, hedge Archer Daniels with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 57.2139 | Short Percent 0.0392 | Short Ratio 4.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.1 M | 50 Day MA 61.2382 |
Archer Relative Strength Index
Archer Daniels Midland Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Archer Daniels' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Archer. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Archer can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Archer Daniels Midland. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Archer Daniels' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Archer Daniels.
Archer Daniels Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Archer Daniels' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Archer Daniels Midland stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Archer Daniels' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Archer Daniels stock will not fluctuate a lot when Archer Daniels' options are near their expiration.
Archer Daniels after-hype prediction price | USD 67.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Archer Daniels to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Archer contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Archer Daniels Midland will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Archer Daniels trading at USD 67.34, that is roughly USD 0.0231 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Archer Daniels' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Archer Daniels Midland options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Archer Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Archer Daniels' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Archer Daniels' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Archer Daniels stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Archer Daniels' open interest, investors have to compare it to Archer Daniels' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Archer Daniels is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Archer. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Archer Daniels Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Archer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Archer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Archer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 633701.0 | 89058.31 |
| Check Archer Daniels Volatility | Backtest Archer Daniels | Information Ratio |
Archer Daniels Trading Date Momentum
| On February 04 2026 Archer Daniels Midland was traded for 67.34 at the closing time. Highest Archer Daniels's price during the trading hours was 67.88 and the lowest price during the day was 66.53 . The net volume was 4.5 M. The overall trading history on the 4th of February did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.33% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Archer Daniels to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Archer Daniels
For every potential investor in Archer, whether a beginner or expert, Archer Daniels' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Archer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Archer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Archer Daniels' price trends.Archer Daniels Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Archer Daniels stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Archer Daniels could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Archer Daniels by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Archer Daniels Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Archer Daniels stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Archer Daniels shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Archer Daniels stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Archer Daniels Midland entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Archer Daniels Risk Indicators
The analysis of Archer Daniels' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Archer Daniels' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting archer stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Archer Daniels
The number of cover stories for Archer Daniels depends on current market conditions and Archer Daniels' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Archer Daniels is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Archer Daniels' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Archer Daniels Short Properties
Archer Daniels' future price predictability will typically decrease when Archer Daniels' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Archer Daniels Midland often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Archer Daniels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Archer Daniels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 484 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Archer Daniels to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Will Agricultural Products & Services sector continue expanding? Could Archer diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Daniels. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Archer Daniels data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.891 | Dividend Share 2.03 | Earnings Share 2.23 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.022 |
Understanding Archer Daniels Midland requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Archer's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Archer Daniels' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Archer Daniels' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Archer Daniels' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Archer Daniels represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Archer Daniels' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.