Align Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

AFW Stock  EUR 146.70  0.90  0.61%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Align Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 146.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.37. Align Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Align Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 14th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Align Technology's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Align Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Align Technology and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Align Technology's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Align Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Align Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Align Technology from the perspective of Align Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Align Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 146.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.37.

Align Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 146.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Align Technology to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Align Stock please use our How to Invest in Align Technology guide.

Align Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Align price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Align using various technical indicators. When you analyze Align charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Align Technology is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Align Technology Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Align Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 146.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.21, mean absolute percentage error of 8.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Align Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Align Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Align Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Align TechnologyAlign Technology Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Align Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Align Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Align Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 144.71 and 148.69, respectively. We have considered Align Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
146.70
144.71
Downside
146.70
Expected Value
148.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Align Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Align Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.6098
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.9225
MADMean absolute deviation2.2097
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0175
SAESum of the absolute errors130.375
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Align Technology price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Align Technology. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Align Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Align Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
144.71146.70148.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
135.72137.71161.37
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Align Technology

For every potential investor in Align, whether a beginner or expert, Align Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Align Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Align. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Align Technology's price trends.

Align Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Align Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Align Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Align Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Align Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Align Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Align Technology's current price.

Align Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Align Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Align Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Align Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Align Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Align Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Align Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Align Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting align stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Align Stock

When determining whether Align Technology offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Align Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Align Technology Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Align Technology Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Align Technology to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Align Stock please use our How to Invest in Align Technology guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Align Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Align Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Align Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.