Assured Guaranty Stock Forecast - Mean Deviation
| AGO Stock | USD 94.07 0.66 0.71% |
Assured Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Assured Guaranty's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Assured Guaranty's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Assured Guaranty fundamentals over time.
Assured |
Open Interest Against 2025-05-16 Assured Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Assured Guaranty's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Assured Guaranty's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Assured Guaranty stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Assured Guaranty's open interest, investors have to compare it to Assured Guaranty's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Assured Guaranty is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Assured. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
| Check Assured Guaranty Volatility | Backtest Assured Guaranty | Information Ratio |
Assured Guaranty Trading Date Momentum
| On February 06 2025 Assured Guaranty was traded for 94.07 at the closing time. Highest Assured Guaranty's price during the trading hours was 94.22 and the lowest price during the day was 92.96 . The net volume was 198.4 K. The overall trading history on the 6th of February did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.16% . |
| Compare Assured Guaranty to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Assured Guaranty
For every potential investor in Assured, whether a beginner or expert, Assured Guaranty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Assured Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Assured. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Assured Guaranty's price trends.Assured Guaranty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Assured Guaranty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Assured Guaranty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Assured Guaranty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Assured Guaranty Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Assured Guaranty's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Assured Guaranty's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Assured Guaranty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Assured Guaranty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Assured Guaranty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Assured Guaranty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Assured Guaranty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2653.01 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5238 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 93.59 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 93.75 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.81 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.66 |
Assured Guaranty Risk Indicators
The analysis of Assured Guaranty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Assured Guaranty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting assured stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.4 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
When determining whether Assured Guaranty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Assured Guaranty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Assured Guaranty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Assured Guaranty Stock: Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Assured Guaranty to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Assured Guaranty. If investors know Assured will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Assured Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.219 | Dividend Share 1.21 | Earnings Share 12.75 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.01 |
The market value of Assured Guaranty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Assured that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Assured Guaranty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Assured Guaranty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Assured Guaranty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Assured Guaranty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Assured Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Assured Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Assured Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.