Atrium Mortgage Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| AI Stock | CAD 11.66 0.03 0.26% |
Atrium Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Atrium Mortgage's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Atrium Mortgage's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Atrium Mortgage fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength indicator of Atrium Mortgage's share price is at 58. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Atrium Mortgage, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.015 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.01 | Wall Street Target Price 13 |
Using Atrium Mortgage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atrium Mortgage Investment from the perspective of Atrium Mortgage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atrium Mortgage Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 11.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.67. Atrium Mortgage after-hype prediction price | CAD 11.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Atrium |
Atrium Mortgage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Atrium price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atrium using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atrium charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Atrium Mortgage Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atrium Mortgage Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 11.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atrium Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atrium Mortgage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Atrium Mortgage Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Atrium Mortgage | Atrium Mortgage Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Atrium Mortgage Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Atrium Mortgage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atrium Mortgage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.15 and 12.18, respectively. We have considered Atrium Mortgage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atrium Mortgage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atrium Mortgage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0068 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0452 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.004 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.6665 |
Predictive Modules for Atrium Mortgage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atrium Mortgage Inve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atrium Mortgage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atrium Mortgage After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Atrium Mortgage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atrium Mortgage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atrium Mortgage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Atrium Mortgage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Atrium Mortgage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atrium Mortgage's historical news coverage. Atrium Mortgage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.15 and 12.17, respectively. We have considered Atrium Mortgage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Atrium Mortgage is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atrium Mortgage Inve is based on 3 months time horizon.
Atrium Mortgage Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atrium Mortgage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atrium Mortgage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atrium Mortgage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.66 | 11.66 | 0.00 |
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Atrium Mortgage Hype Timeline
Atrium Mortgage Inve is presently traded for 11.66on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Atrium is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Atrium Mortgage is about 3642.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.66. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.06. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Atrium Mortgage Inve last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atrium Mortgage to cross-verify your projections.Atrium Mortgage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Atrium Mortgage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atrium Mortgage's future price movements. Getting to know how Atrium Mortgage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atrium Mortgage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TF | Timbercreek Financial Corp | 0.13 | 4 per month | 1.22 | (0.03) | 1.73 | (1.73) | 5.76 | |
| FC | Firm Capital Mortgage | 0.06 | 3 per month | 0.56 | (0.04) | 0.76 | (1.13) | 2.69 | |
| VBNK | VersaBank | (0.27) | 8 per month | 1.16 | 0.16 | 3.12 | (2.71) | 14.28 | |
| LBS | Life Banc Split | 0.06 | 5 per month | 0.92 | 0.12 | 1.85 | (1.56) | 4.94 | |
| MKP | MCAN Mortgage | (0.28) | 5 per month | 0.79 | 0.05 | 1.54 | (1.51) | 4.22 | |
| BK | Canadian Banc Corp | 0.13 | 5 per month | 0.18 | 0.17 | 1.65 | (1.11) | 8.91 | |
| AIM-PA | Aimia Srs 1 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.33 | (2.38) | 9.51 | |
| FFN | North American Financial | 0.03 | 1 per month | 1.35 | 0.17 | 2.13 | (1.43) | 7.67 | |
| FSZ | Fiera Capital | 0.04 | 9 per month | 1.17 | (0.01) | 1.62 | (1.62) | 8.88 | |
| QRC | Queens Road Capital | (0.04) | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.33 | 4.36 | (1.16) | 10.80 |
Other Forecasting Options for Atrium Mortgage
For every potential investor in Atrium, whether a beginner or expert, Atrium Mortgage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atrium Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atrium. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atrium Mortgage's price trends.Atrium Mortgage Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atrium Mortgage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atrium Mortgage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atrium Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Atrium Mortgage Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atrium Mortgage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atrium Mortgage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atrium Mortgage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atrium Mortgage Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Atrium Mortgage Risk Indicators
The analysis of Atrium Mortgage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atrium Mortgage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atrium stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.388 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4487 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5458 | |||
| Variance | 0.2979 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3384 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2013 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Atrium Mortgage
The number of cover stories for Atrium Mortgage depends on current market conditions and Atrium Mortgage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atrium Mortgage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atrium Mortgage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Atrium Stock
Atrium Mortgage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atrium Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atrium with respect to the benefits of owning Atrium Mortgage security.