Amplitude Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| AMPL Stock | USD 11.05 0.12 1.10% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplitude on the next trading day is expected to be 10.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.10. Amplitude Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Amplitude's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Amplitude's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Amplitude fundamentals over time.
As of now The relative strength indicator of Amplitude's share price is above 80 . This suggests that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 94
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0427 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.07 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1173 | Wall Street Target Price 15.3 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.0142 |
Using Amplitude hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amplitude from the perspective of Amplitude response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amplitude using Amplitude's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amplitude using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amplitude's stock price.
Amplitude Short Interest
An investor who is long Amplitude may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Amplitude and may potentially protect profits, hedge Amplitude with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.081 | Short Percent 0.0466 | Short Ratio 4.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.5 M | 50 Day MA 10.6653 |
Amplitude Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Amplitude's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Amplitude. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Amplitude can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Amplitude. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Amplitude's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Amplitude.
Amplitude Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
Amplitude's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amplitude stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amplitude's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amplitude stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amplitude's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplitude on the next trading day is expected to be 10.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.10. Amplitude after-hype prediction price | USD 10.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Amplitude | Build AI portfolio with Amplitude Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Amplitude Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Amplitude's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Amplitude's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Amplitude stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Amplitude's open interest, investors have to compare it to Amplitude's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Amplitude is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Amplitude. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Amplitude Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amplitude price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amplitude using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amplitude charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amplitude Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplitude on the next trading day is expected to be 10.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amplitude Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amplitude's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amplitude Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amplitude | Amplitude Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Amplitude Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amplitude's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amplitude's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.36 and 13.57, respectively. We have considered Amplitude's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amplitude stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amplitude stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0328 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2559 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0242 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.0979 |
Predictive Modules for Amplitude
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplitude. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Amplitude
For every potential investor in Amplitude, whether a beginner or expert, Amplitude's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amplitude Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amplitude. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amplitude's price trends.Amplitude Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amplitude stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amplitude could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplitude by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amplitude Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amplitude's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amplitude's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amplitude Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amplitude stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amplitude shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amplitude stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amplitude entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Amplitude Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amplitude's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amplitude's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amplitude stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Variance | 7.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplitude to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Amplitude Stock please use our How to buy in Amplitude Stock guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amplitude. If investors know Amplitude will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amplitude listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.80) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.177 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Amplitude is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplitude that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplitude's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplitude's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amplitude's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplitude's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amplitude's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amplitude is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amplitude's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.