American Water Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| AWK Stock | USD 134.08 1.16 0.87% |
American Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although American Water's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of American Water's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of American Water fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of American Water's share price is approaching 34. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Water, making its price go up or down. Momentum 34
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1725 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.0988 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.5577 | Wall Street Target Price 138.4 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.2691 |
Using American Water hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Water Works from the perspective of American Water response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Water using American Water's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Water's stock price.
American Water Short Interest
An investor who is long American Water may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about American Water and may potentially protect profits, hedge American Water with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 136.7917 | Short Percent 0.0612 | Short Ratio 6.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.6 M | 50 Day MA 129.7444 |
American Relative Strength Index
American Water Works Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to American Water's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Water Works. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American Water's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American Water.
American Water Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
American Water's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Water Works stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Water's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Water stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Water's options are near their expiration.
American Water after-hype prediction price | USD 134.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Water to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current American contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that American Water Works will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0213% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With American Water trading at USD 134.08, that is roughly USD 0.0285 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating American Water's daily price movement you should consider acquiring American Water Works options at the current volatility level of 0.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 American Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American Water's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in American Water's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for American Water stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American Water's open interest, investors have to compare it to American Water's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American Water is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
American Water Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 45408.98 | 30017.68 |
| Check American Water Volatility | Backtest American Water | Information Ratio |
American Water Trading Date Momentum
| On February 24 2026 American Water Works was traded for 134.08 at the closing time. Highest American Water's price during the trading hours was 134.11 and the lowest price during the day was 131.75 . The net volume was 1.7 M. The overall trading history on the 24th of February did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.61% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare American Water to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for American Water
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Water's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Water's price trends.American Water Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Water stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Water could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Water by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Water Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Water stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Water shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Water stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Water Works entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 30017.68 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4915 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 132.93 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 133.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.73 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.16 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 34.09 |
American Water Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Water's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Water's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Variance | 2.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.63 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for American Water
The number of cover stories for American Water depends on current market conditions and American Water's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Water is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Water's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American Water Short Properties
American Water's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Water's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Water Works often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 195 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 174 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Water to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Water Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Water. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive American Water assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Dividend Share 3.248 | Earnings Share 5.68 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.058 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate American Water Works using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating American Water's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause American Water's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American Water's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Water represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, American Water's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.