American States Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| AWR Stock | USD 73.16 1.47 1.97% |
American Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although American States' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of American States' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of American States fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of American States' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.118 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.71 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.32 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.49 | Wall Street Target Price 81 |
Using American States hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American States Water from the perspective of American States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American States using American States' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American States' stock price.
American States Short Interest
An investor who is long American States may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about American States and may potentially protect profits, hedge American States with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 75.3029 | Short Percent 0.029 | Short Ratio 3.12 | Shares Short Prior Month 792.5 K | 50 Day MA 73.5646 |
American States Water Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to American States' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American States Water. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
American States Implied Volatility | 0.58 |
American States' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American States Water stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American States' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American States stock will not fluctuate a lot when American States' options are near their expiration.
American States after-hype prediction price | USD 73.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American States to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current American contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that American States Water will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0363% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With American States trading at USD 73.16, that is roughly USD 0.0265 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating American States' daily price movement you should consider acquiring American States Water options at the current volatility level of 0.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 American Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American States' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in American States' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for American States stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American States' open interest, investors have to compare it to American States' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American States is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
American States Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 6899.9 | 0.0345 |
| Check American States Volatility | Backtest American States | Information Ratio |
American States Trading Date Momentum
| On January 25 2026 American States Water was traded for 73.16 at the closing time. Highest American States's price during the trading hours was 75.57 and the lowest price during the day was 72.96 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 25th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 3.29% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare American States to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for American States
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American States' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American States' price trends.American States Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American States stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American States could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American States by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American States Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American States stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American States shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American States stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American States Water entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
American States Risk Indicators
The analysis of American States' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American States' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.796 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Variance | 1.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for American States
The number of cover stories for American States depends on current market conditions and American States' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American States is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American States' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American States Short Properties
American States' future price predictability will typically decrease when American States' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American States Water often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American States' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American States' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.7 M |
Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American States' price analysis, check to measure American States' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American States is operating at the current time. Most of American States' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American States' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American States' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American States to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.