Beacon Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| BBT Stock | USD 28.26 1.03 3.52% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Beacon Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 28.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.36. Beacon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Beacon Financial's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.373 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.084 |
Using Beacon Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Beacon Financial from the perspective of Beacon Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Beacon Financial using Beacon Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Beacon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Beacon Financial's stock price.
Beacon Financial Short Interest
An investor who is long Beacon Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Beacon Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Beacon Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 26.5071 | Short Percent 0.0402 | Short Ratio 3.17 | Shares Short Prior Month 339.7 K | 50 Day MA 25.6896 |
Beacon Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Beacon Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Beacon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Beacon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Beacon Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Beacon Financial Implied Volatility | 1.22 |
Beacon Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Beacon Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Beacon Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Beacon Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Beacon Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Beacon Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 28.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.36. Beacon Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 28.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beacon Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Beacon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Beacon Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0763% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Beacon Financial trading at USD 28.26, that is roughly USD 0.0215 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Beacon Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Beacon Financial options at the current volatility level of 1.22%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Beacon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Beacon Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Beacon Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Beacon Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Beacon Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Beacon Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Beacon Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Beacon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Beacon Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Beacon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Beacon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Beacon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Beacon Financial Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Beacon Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 28.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beacon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beacon Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Beacon Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Beacon Financial | Beacon Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Beacon Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Beacon Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beacon Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.23 and 30.06, respectively. We have considered Beacon Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beacon Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beacon Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5031 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6124 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0234 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.3578 |
Predictive Modules for Beacon Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beacon Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Beacon Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Beacon Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Beacon Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Beacon Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Beacon Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Beacon Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Beacon Financial's historical news coverage. Beacon Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.15 and 30.01, respectively. We have considered Beacon Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Beacon Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Beacon Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Beacon Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Beacon Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Beacon Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Beacon Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.92 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 13 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.26 | 28.08 | 0.64 |
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Beacon Financial Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January Beacon Financial is traded for 28.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.24. Beacon is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.64%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Beacon Financial is about 231.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.02. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.68. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Beacon Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.96. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of August 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 4th of August 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beacon Financial to cross-verify your projections.Beacon Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Beacon Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Beacon Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Beacon Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Beacon Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TSLX | Sixth Street Specialty | (0.08) | 16 per month | 1.06 | (0) | 2.13 | (2.11) | 5.76 | |
| ECC | Eagle Point Credit | 0.05 | 7 per month | 1.48 | 0.02 | 2.49 | (2.11) | 10.10 | |
| GCMG | GCM Grosvenor | (0.08) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.08 | (2.83) | 5.98 | |
| BUR | Burford Capital | (0.61) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.11 | (3.77) | 15.16 | |
| SII | Sprott Inc | (0.61) | 21 per month | 1.60 | 0.26 | 4.64 | (3.40) | 11.26 | |
| WT | WisdomTree | (3.68) | 3 per month | 1.38 | 0.14 | 4.19 | (2.35) | 8.38 | |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services | (0.79) | 8 per month | 1.29 | (0.03) | 2.79 | (1.83) | 5.57 | |
| PAX | Patria Investments | 0.80 | 9 per month | 1.01 | 0.12 | 2.24 | (2.30) | 7.49 | |
| GRAB | Grab Holdings | (3.68) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.62 | (4.32) | 12.33 | |
| TY | Tri Continental Closed | 0.37 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.04 | (0.89) | 7.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for Beacon Financial
For every potential investor in Beacon, whether a beginner or expert, Beacon Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beacon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beacon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beacon Financial's price trends.Beacon Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beacon Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beacon Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beacon Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Beacon Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beacon Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beacon Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beacon Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beacon Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Beacon Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Beacon Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beacon Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beacon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Variance | 3.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.49) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Beacon Financial
The number of cover stories for Beacon Financial depends on current market conditions and Beacon Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Beacon Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Beacon Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Beacon Financial Short Properties
Beacon Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Beacon Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Beacon Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Beacon Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beacon Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Additional Tools for Beacon Stock Analysis
When running Beacon Financial's price analysis, check to measure Beacon Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Beacon Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Beacon Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Beacon Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Beacon Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Beacon Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.