Bilibili Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator
| BILI Stock | USD 30.60 0.31 1.02% |
Bilibili Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Bilibili's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 13th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Bilibili's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.8257 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.7629 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.91 | Wall Street Target Price 31.374 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.4958 |
Using Bilibili hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bilibili from the perspective of Bilibili response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bilibili using Bilibili's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bilibili using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bilibili's stock price.
Bilibili Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Bilibili's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Bilibili. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Bilibili stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 24.8678 | Short Percent 0.057 | Short Ratio 4.56 | Shares Short Prior Month 16.2 M | 50 Day MA 28.6442 |
Bilibili Relative Strength Index
Bilibili Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Bilibili's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bilibili. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bilibili can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bilibili. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bilibili's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bilibili.
Bilibili Implied Volatility | 0.69 |
Bilibili's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bilibili stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bilibili's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bilibili stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bilibili's options are near their expiration.
Bilibili after-hype prediction price | USD 30.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bilibili to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bilibili contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bilibili will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0431% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Bilibili trading at USD 30.6, that is roughly USD 0.0132 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bilibili's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bilibili options at the current volatility level of 0.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Bilibili Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Bilibili's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Bilibili's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Bilibili stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Bilibili's open interest, investors have to compare it to Bilibili's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Bilibili is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Bilibili. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Bilibili Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bilibili price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bilibili using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bilibili charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (0.86) | 0.19 |
| Check Bilibili Volatility | Backtest Bilibili | Information Ratio |
Bilibili Trading Date Momentum
| On February 13 2026 Bilibili was traded for 30.60 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 30.91 and the lowest listed price was 30.23 . The trading volume for the day was 1.4 M. The trading history from February 13, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.18% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Bilibili to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Bilibili
For every potential investor in Bilibili, whether a beginner or expert, Bilibili's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bilibili Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bilibili. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bilibili's price trends.Bilibili Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bilibili stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bilibili could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bilibili by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bilibili Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bilibili stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bilibili shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bilibili stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bilibili entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 31549.32 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4559 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 30.57 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 30.58 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.19 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.31 |
Bilibili Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bilibili's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bilibili's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bilibili stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.21 | |||
| Variance | 10.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bilibili
The number of cover stories for Bilibili depends on current market conditions and Bilibili's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bilibili is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bilibili's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bilibili Short Properties
Bilibili's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bilibili's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bilibili often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bilibili's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bilibili's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 416.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.7 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bilibili to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Bilibili Stock please use our How to Invest in Bilibili guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is there potential for Interactive Home Entertainment market expansion? Will Bilibili introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bilibili. Projected growth potential of Bilibili fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Bilibili listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.25 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.052 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Bilibili is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bilibili that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bilibili's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bilibili's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Bilibili's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bilibili's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bilibili's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bilibili should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Bilibili's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.