Bausch Lomb Stock Forward View
| BLCO Stock | USD 16.70 0.15 0.89% |
Bausch Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Bausch Lomb's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Bausch Lomb's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Bausch Lomb fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Bausch Lomb's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bausch Lomb, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3495 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5308 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8024 | Wall Street Target Price 17.5357 |
Using Bausch Lomb hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bausch Lomb Corp from the perspective of Bausch Lomb response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bausch Lomb using Bausch Lomb's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bausch using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bausch Lomb's stock price.
Bausch Lomb Short Interest
An investor who is long Bausch Lomb may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Bausch Lomb and may potentially protect profits, hedge Bausch Lomb with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.5052 | Short Percent 0.0858 | Short Ratio 10.58 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 16.7486 |
Bausch Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bausch Lomb Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 16.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.09.Bausch Lomb Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Bausch Lomb's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bausch. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bausch can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bausch Lomb Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bausch Lomb's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bausch Lomb.
Bausch Lomb Implied Volatility | 1.3 |
Bausch Lomb's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bausch Lomb Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bausch Lomb's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bausch Lomb stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bausch Lomb's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bausch Lomb Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 16.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.09. Bausch Lomb after-hype prediction price | USD 16.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bausch Lomb to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bausch contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bausch Lomb Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0813% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Bausch Lomb trading at USD 16.7, that is roughly USD 0.0136 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bausch Lomb's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bausch Lomb Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Bausch Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Bausch Lomb's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Bausch Lomb's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Bausch Lomb stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Bausch Lomb's open interest, investors have to compare it to Bausch Lomb's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Bausch Lomb is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Bausch. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Bausch Lomb Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bausch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bausch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bausch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bausch Lomb Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Bausch Lomb's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2020-12-31 | Previous Quarter 272 M | Current Value 310 M | Quarterly Volatility 141.5 M |
Bausch Lomb Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bausch Lomb Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 16.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bausch Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bausch Lomb's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bausch Lomb Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bausch Lomb | Bausch Lomb Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bausch Lomb Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bausch Lomb's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bausch Lomb's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.53 and 18.06, respectively. We have considered Bausch Lomb's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bausch Lomb stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bausch Lomb stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1266 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2638 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0163 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.0931 |
Predictive Modules for Bausch Lomb
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bausch Lomb Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bausch Lomb's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bausch Lomb After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bausch Lomb at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bausch Lomb or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bausch Lomb, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bausch Lomb Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bausch Lomb's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bausch Lomb's historical news coverage. Bausch Lomb's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.92 and 18.48, respectively. We have considered Bausch Lomb's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bausch Lomb is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bausch Lomb Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bausch Lomb Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bausch Lomb is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bausch Lomb backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bausch Lomb, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.77 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.70 | 16.70 | 0.00 |
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Bausch Lomb Hype Timeline
Bausch Lomb Corp is currently traded for 16.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Bausch is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bausch Lomb is about 809.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.74. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.93. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bausch Lomb Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.7. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.85. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bausch Lomb to cross-verify your projections.Bausch Lomb Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bausch Lomb's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bausch Lomb's future price movements. Getting to know how Bausch Lomb's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bausch Lomb may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GXRFF | Prospera Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.70 | (9.67) | 38.06 | |
| USSTX | Tax Exempt Short Term | 2.28 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.19 | (0.10) | 0.39 | |
| JDDSF | JD Sports Fashion | (2.61) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | (0.87) | 22.36 | |
| NEMTF | Nemetschek SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.70 | |
| AA | Alcoa Corp | 1.42 | 8 per month | 2.69 | 0.16 | 6.40 | (5.54) | 14.55 | |
| JDSPY | JD Sports Fashion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.19 | (6.25) | 15.07 | |
| ALLE | Allegion PLC | 0.44 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.15 | (1.99) | 5.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bausch Lomb
For every potential investor in Bausch, whether a beginner or expert, Bausch Lomb's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bausch Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bausch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bausch Lomb's price trends.Bausch Lomb Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bausch Lomb stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bausch Lomb could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bausch Lomb by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bausch Lomb Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bausch Lomb stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bausch Lomb shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bausch Lomb stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bausch Lomb Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bausch Lomb Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bausch Lomb's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bausch Lomb's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bausch stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Variance | 3.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bausch Lomb
The number of cover stories for Bausch Lomb depends on current market conditions and Bausch Lomb's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bausch Lomb is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bausch Lomb's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bausch Lomb Short Properties
Bausch Lomb's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bausch Lomb's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bausch Lomb Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bausch Lomb's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bausch Lomb's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 351.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 305 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bausch Lomb to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Bausch diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bausch Lomb. Projected growth potential of Bausch fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Bausch Lomb data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | Earnings Share (0.85) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.071 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Bausch Lomb Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Bausch's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Bausch Lomb's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Bausch Lomb's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Bausch Lomb's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bausch Lomb should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Bausch Lomb's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.