Badger Meter Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BMI Stock  USD 166.69  15.14  8.33%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Badger Meter on the next trading day is expected to be 162.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 170.13. Badger Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Badger Meter's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Badger Meter's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Badger Meter's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Badger Meter, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Badger Meter's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.102
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.1465
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.8105
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.4202
Wall Street Target Price
212.8
Using Badger Meter hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Badger Meter from the perspective of Badger Meter response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Badger Meter using Badger Meter's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Badger using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Badger Meter's stock price.

Badger Meter Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Badger Meter's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Badger. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Badger Meter stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
200.1841
Short Percent
0.1124
Short Ratio
8.26
Shares Short Prior Month
2.4 M
50 Day MA
180.1248

Badger Meter Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Badger Meter's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Badger. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Badger can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Badger Meter. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Badger Meter's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Badger Meter.

Badger Meter Implied Volatility

    
  0.69  
Badger Meter's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Badger Meter stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Badger Meter's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Badger Meter stock will not fluctuate a lot when Badger Meter's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Badger Meter on the next trading day is expected to be 162.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 170.13.

Badger Meter after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 166.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Badger Meter to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Badger Stock please use our How to Invest in Badger Meter guide.As of now, Badger Meter's Payables Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Badger Meter's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 10.52, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 3.92. . The Badger Meter's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 150.9 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to under 30.8 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Badger Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Badger Meter's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Badger Meter's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Badger Meter stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Badger Meter's open interest, investors have to compare it to Badger Meter's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Badger Meter is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Badger. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Badger Meter Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Badger price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Badger using various technical indicators. When you analyze Badger charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Badger Meter Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Badger Meter's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-12-31
Previous Quarter
165.2 M
Current Value
201.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
54.4 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Badger Meter is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Badger Meter value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Badger Meter Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Badger Meter on the next trading day is expected to be 162.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.74, mean absolute percentage error of 12.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 170.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Badger Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Badger Meter's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Badger Meter Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Badger MeterBadger Meter Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Badger Meter Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Badger Meter's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Badger Meter's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 160.28 and 164.63, respectively. We have considered Badger Meter's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
166.69
160.28
Downside
162.46
Expected Value
164.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Badger Meter stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Badger Meter stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.4563
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.744
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0153
SAESum of the absolute errors170.127
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Badger Meter. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Badger Meter. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Badger Meter

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Badger Meter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
164.54166.69168.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
150.02171.87174.02
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
193.65212.80236.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.201.311.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Badger Meter

For every potential investor in Badger, whether a beginner or expert, Badger Meter's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Badger Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Badger. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Badger Meter's price trends.

Badger Meter Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Badger Meter stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Badger Meter could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Badger Meter by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Badger Meter Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Badger Meter's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Badger Meter's current price.

Badger Meter Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Badger Meter stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Badger Meter shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Badger Meter stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Badger Meter entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Badger Meter Risk Indicators

The analysis of Badger Meter's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Badger Meter's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting badger stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Badger Meter offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Badger Meter's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Badger Meter Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Badger Meter Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Badger Meter to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Badger Stock please use our How to Invest in Badger Meter guide.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Badger Meter. If investors know Badger will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Badger Meter listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.102
Dividend Share
1.42
Earnings Share
4.68
Revenue Per Share
30.655
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.131
The market value of Badger Meter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Badger that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Badger Meter's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Badger Meter's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Badger Meter's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Badger Meter's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Badger Meter's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Badger Meter is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Badger Meter's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.