Badger Meter Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

BMI Stock  USD 172.13  1.99  1.17%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Badger Meter on the next trading day is expected to be 172.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 229.40. Badger Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Badger Meter's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Badger Meter's share price is approaching 45 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Badger Meter, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Badger Meter's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Badger Meter, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Badger Meter's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.102
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.1465
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.8072
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.4189
Wall Street Target Price
211.3
Using Badger Meter hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Badger Meter from the perspective of Badger Meter response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Badger Meter using Badger Meter's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Badger using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Badger Meter's stock price.

Badger Meter Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Badger Meter's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Badger. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Badger Meter stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
199.1299
Short Percent
0.108
Short Ratio
9.98
Shares Short Prior Month
2.4 M
50 Day MA
177.5146

Badger Meter Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Badger Meter's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Badger. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Badger can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Badger Meter. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Badger Meter Implied Volatility

    
  0.33  
Badger Meter's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Badger Meter stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Badger Meter's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Badger Meter stock will not fluctuate a lot when Badger Meter's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Badger Meter on the next trading day is expected to be 172.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 229.40.

Badger Meter after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 172.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Badger Meter to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Badger Stock please use our How to Invest in Badger Meter guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Badger contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Badger Meter will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0206% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Badger Meter trading at USD 172.13, that is roughly USD 0.0355 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Badger Meter's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Badger Meter options at the current volatility level of 0.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Badger Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Badger Meter's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Badger Meter's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Badger Meter stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Badger Meter's open interest, investors have to compare it to Badger Meter's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Badger Meter is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Badger. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Badger Meter Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Badger price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Badger using various technical indicators. When you analyze Badger charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Badger Meter price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Badger Meter Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Badger Meter on the next trading day is expected to be 172.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.70, mean absolute percentage error of 21.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 229.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Badger Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Badger Meter's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Badger Meter Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Badger MeterBadger Meter Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Badger Meter Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Badger Meter's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Badger Meter's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 170.83 and 174.96, respectively. We have considered Badger Meter's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
172.13
170.83
Downside
172.89
Expected Value
174.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Badger Meter stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Badger Meter stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.9934
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.7001
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0209
SAESum of the absolute errors229.4031
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Badger Meter historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Badger Meter

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Badger Meter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
170.07172.13174.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
128.76130.82189.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
165.40175.86186.32
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
192.28211.30234.54
Details

Badger Meter After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Badger Meter at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Badger Meter or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Badger Meter, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Badger Meter Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Badger Meter's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Badger Meter's historical news coverage. Badger Meter's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 170.07 and 174.19, respectively. We have considered Badger Meter's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
172.13
170.07
Downside
172.13
After-hype Price
174.19
Upside
Badger Meter is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Badger Meter is based on 3 months time horizon.

Badger Meter Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Badger Meter is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Badger Meter backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Badger Meter, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
2.06
  0.04 
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
172.13
172.13
0.00 
457.78  
Notes

Badger Meter Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of January Badger Meter is traded for 172.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Badger is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Badger Meter is about 20600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 172.13. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. Badger Meter had 2:1 split on the 16th of September 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Badger Meter to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Badger Stock please use our How to Invest in Badger Meter guide.

Badger Meter Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Badger Meter's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Badger Meter's future price movements. Getting to know how Badger Meter's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Badger Meter may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VNTVontier Corp(0.45)21 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.80 (2.57) 12.73 
ITRIItron Inc 0.40 12 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.51 (4.16) 24.28 
ESEESCO Technologies 2.73 9 per month 1.72 (0.03) 2.54 (3.16) 7.84 
OSISOSI Systems(0.45)9 per month 2.11  0.06  4.86 (3.51) 20.11 
NOVTNovanta(0.45)9 per month 4.00  0.1  7.35 (4.57) 27.31 
LFUSLittelfuse(0.52)12 per month 1.82  0.05  3.65 (3.64) 8.44 
VICRVicor 0.05 17 per month 1.79  0.32  8.42 (3.61) 36.51 
INGMIngram Micro Holding(0.31)10 per month 1.97 (0.04) 3.53 (3.62) 9.36 
CAMTCamtek(0.45)16 per month 3.04  0.06  7.61 (5.48) 15.59 
WEXWex Inc(0.45)3 per month 1.62  0.01  3.31 (2.82) 8.14 

Other Forecasting Options for Badger Meter

For every potential investor in Badger, whether a beginner or expert, Badger Meter's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Badger Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Badger. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Badger Meter's price trends.

Badger Meter Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Badger Meter stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Badger Meter could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Badger Meter by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Badger Meter Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Badger Meter stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Badger Meter shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Badger Meter stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Badger Meter entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Badger Meter Risk Indicators

The analysis of Badger Meter's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Badger Meter's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting badger stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Badger Meter

The number of cover stories for Badger Meter depends on current market conditions and Badger Meter's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Badger Meter is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Badger Meter's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Badger Meter Short Properties

Badger Meter's future price predictability will typically decrease when Badger Meter's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Badger Meter often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Badger Meter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Badger Meter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments295.3 M
When determining whether Badger Meter offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Badger Meter's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Badger Meter Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Badger Meter Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Badger Meter to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Badger Stock please use our How to Invest in Badger Meter guide.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Badger Meter. If investors know Badger will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Badger Meter listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.102
Dividend Share
1.42
Earnings Share
4.68
Revenue Per Share
30.655
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.131
The market value of Badger Meter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Badger that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Badger Meter's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Badger Meter's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Badger Meter's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Badger Meter's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Badger Meter's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Badger Meter is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Badger Meter's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.