Badger Meter Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BMI Stock | USD 169.52 2.61 1.52% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Badger Meter on the next trading day is expected to be 169.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 154.60. Badger Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Badger Meter's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Badger Meter's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.102 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1465 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.8072 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.4189 | Wall Street Target Price 211.3 |
Using Badger Meter hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Badger Meter from the perspective of Badger Meter response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Badger Meter using Badger Meter's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Badger using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Badger Meter's stock price.
Badger Meter Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Badger Meter's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Badger. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Badger Meter stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 199.1299 | Short Percent 0.108 | Short Ratio 9.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 177.5146 |
Badger Meter Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Badger Meter's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Badger. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Badger can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Badger Meter. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Badger Meter Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Badger Meter's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Badger Meter stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Badger Meter's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Badger Meter stock will not fluctuate a lot when Badger Meter's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Badger Meter on the next trading day is expected to be 169.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 154.60. Badger Meter after-hype prediction price | USD 170.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Badger Meter to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Badger contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Badger Meter will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Badger Meter trading at USD 169.52, that is roughly USD 0.0403 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Badger Meter's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Badger Meter options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Badger Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Badger Meter's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Badger Meter's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Badger Meter stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Badger Meter's open interest, investors have to compare it to Badger Meter's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Badger Meter is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Badger. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Badger Meter Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Badger price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Badger using various technical indicators. When you analyze Badger charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Badger Meter Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Badger Meter on the next trading day is expected to be 169.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.53, mean absolute percentage error of 11.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 154.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Badger Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Badger Meter's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Badger Meter Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Badger Meter | Badger Meter Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Badger Meter Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Badger Meter's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Badger Meter's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 167.62 and 171.73, respectively. We have considered Badger Meter's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Badger Meter stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Badger Meter stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.5918 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3033 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.5345 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0144 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 154.6037 |
Predictive Modules for Badger Meter
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Badger Meter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Badger Meter After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Badger Meter at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Badger Meter or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Badger Meter, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Badger Meter Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Badger Meter's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Badger Meter's historical news coverage. Badger Meter's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 168.11 and 172.21, respectively. We have considered Badger Meter's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Badger Meter is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Badger Meter is based on 3 months time horizon.
Badger Meter Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Badger Meter is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Badger Meter backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Badger Meter, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.05 | 0.64 | 0.07 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
169.52 | 170.16 | 0.38 |
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Badger Meter Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January Badger Meter is traded for 169.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.64, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Badger is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 170.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 32.28%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Badger Meter is about 310.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 169.45. The company reported the last year's revenue of 826.56 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 124.94 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 371.84 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Badger Meter to cross-verify your projections.Badger Meter Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Badger Meter's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Badger Meter's future price movements. Getting to know how Badger Meter's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Badger Meter may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VNT | Vontier Corp | (4.28) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.80 | (2.57) | 12.73 | |
| ITRI | Itron Inc | 0.57 | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.51 | (4.16) | 24.28 | |
| ESE | ESCO Technologies | 6.12 | 33 per month | 1.74 | (0.02) | 2.54 | (3.16) | 7.84 | |
| OSIS | OSI Systems | (7.66) | 7 per month | 2.35 | 0.03 | 4.86 | (3.74) | 20.11 | |
| NOVT | Novanta | 1.00 | 10 per month | 3.94 | 0.09 | 7.35 | (4.57) | 27.31 | |
| LFUS | Littelfuse | (4.28) | 10 per month | 1.99 | 0.03 | 3.65 | (3.64) | 8.44 | |
| VICR | Vicor | (0.64) | 4 per month | 2.24 | 0.29 | 8.42 | (5.35) | 36.51 | |
| INGM | Ingram Micro Holding | (0.31) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.53 | (3.62) | 9.36 | |
| CAMT | Camtek | 4.60 | 22 per month | 3.04 | 0.06 | 7.61 | (5.48) | 15.59 | |
| WEX | Wex Inc | (1.72) | 9 per month | 1.65 | 0 | 3.31 | (2.82) | 8.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Badger Meter
For every potential investor in Badger, whether a beginner or expert, Badger Meter's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Badger Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Badger. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Badger Meter's price trends.Badger Meter Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Badger Meter stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Badger Meter could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Badger Meter by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Badger Meter Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Badger Meter stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Badger Meter shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Badger Meter stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Badger Meter entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5102.33 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.52) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 170.61 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 170.24 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.39) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.61) |
Badger Meter Risk Indicators
The analysis of Badger Meter's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Badger Meter's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting badger stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Variance | 4.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Badger Meter
The number of cover stories for Badger Meter depends on current market conditions and Badger Meter's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Badger Meter is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Badger Meter's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Badger Meter Short Properties
Badger Meter's future price predictability will typically decrease when Badger Meter's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Badger Meter often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Badger Meter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Badger Meter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 295.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Badger Meter to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Badger Stock please use our How to Invest in Badger Meter guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Badger Meter. If investors know Badger will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Badger Meter listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.102 | Dividend Share 1.42 | Earnings Share 4.68 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.131 |
The market value of Badger Meter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Badger that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Badger Meter's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Badger Meter's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Badger Meter's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Badger Meter's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Badger Meter's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Badger Meter is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Badger Meter's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.