Bank of Marin Stock Forward View
| BMRC Stock | USD 27.25 0.28 1.02% |
Bank Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bank of Marin stock prices and determine the direction of Bank of Marin's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Bank of Marin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Bank of Marin's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.679 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5267 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.338 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.56 | Wall Street Target Price 30.625 |
Using Bank of Marin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank of Marin from the perspective of Bank of Marin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bank of Marin using Bank of Marin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bank using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bank of Marin's stock price.
Bank of Marin Implied Volatility | 0.86 |
Bank of Marin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bank of Marin stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bank of Marin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bank of Marin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bank of Marin's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bank of Marin on the next trading day is expected to be 26.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.79. Bank of Marin after-hype prediction price | USD 27.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of Marin to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bank contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bank of Marin will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0538% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Bank of Marin trading at USD 27.25, that is roughly USD 0.0146 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bank of Marin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bank of Marin options at the current volatility level of 0.86%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Bank Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Bank of Marin's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Bank of Marin's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Bank of Marin stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Bank of Marin's open interest, investors have to compare it to Bank of Marin's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Bank of Marin is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Bank. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Bank of Marin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bank of Marin Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Bank of Marin's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2000-12-31 | Previous Quarter 219.3 M | Current Value 225.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 92.3 M |
Bank of Marin Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bank of Marin on the next trading day is expected to be 26.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank of Marin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bank of Marin Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bank of Marin | Bank of Marin Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bank of Marin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bank of Marin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank of Marin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.03 and 28.61, respectively. We have considered Bank of Marin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank of Marin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank of Marin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3557 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3675 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0139 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.7863 |
Predictive Modules for Bank of Marin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of Marin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank of Marin After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bank of Marin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank of Marin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank of Marin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bank of Marin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bank of Marin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank of Marin's historical news coverage. Bank of Marin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.38 and 28.94, respectively. We have considered Bank of Marin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bank of Marin is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank of Marin is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bank of Marin Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank of Marin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank of Marin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank of Marin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.79 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.25 | 27.16 | 0.33 |
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Bank of Marin Hype Timeline
Bank of Marin is currently traded for 27.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Bank is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 192.47%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Bank of Marin is about 824.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.27. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.99. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bank of Marin has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of February 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 28th of November 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of Marin to cross-verify your projections.Bank of Marin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bank of Marin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank of Marin's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank of Marin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank of Marin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRBS | Blue Ridge Bankshares | (0.08) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.49 | (2.75) | 7.68 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.32) | 6 per month | 0.93 | 0.08 | 3.42 | (1.52) | 7.92 | |
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | (1.30) | 8 per month | 1.26 | 0.07 | 3.62 | (1.95) | 9.64 | |
| FBIZ | First Business Financial | 1.36 | 9 per month | 1.00 | 0.07 | 3.35 | (1.91) | 8.36 | |
| CIVB | Civista Bancshares | 0.72 | 6 per month | 1.14 | 0.05 | 2.80 | (2.30) | 7.76 | |
| NFBK | Northfield Bancorp | 0.45 | 8 per month | 0.94 | 0.17 | 3.73 | (2.01) | 13.02 | |
| BSRR | Sierra Bancorp | 1.23 | 9 per month | 0.96 | 0.13 | 4.74 | (1.91) | 9.05 | |
| FFWM | First Foundation | 0.07 | 9 per month | 2.18 | 0.06 | 3.08 | (3.38) | 12.56 | |
| KRNY | Kearny Financial Corp | (0.18) | 6 per month | 1.00 | 0.15 | 4.45 | (1.96) | 9.83 | |
| COFS | ChoiceOne Financial Services | 0.22 | 9 per month | 1.69 | (0.04) | 3.72 | (2.94) | 10.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bank of Marin
For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank of Marin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank of Marin's price trends.Bank of Marin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank of Marin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank of Marin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank of Marin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bank of Marin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank of Marin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank of Marin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank of Marin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank of Marin entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1819.65 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.42) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.54 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.44 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.43) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.28) |
Bank of Marin Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bank of Marin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank of Marin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Variance | 3.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.66) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bank of Marin
The number of cover stories for Bank of Marin depends on current market conditions and Bank of Marin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank of Marin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank of Marin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bank of Marin Short Properties
Bank of Marin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank of Marin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank of Marin often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank of Marin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of Marin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 225.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of Marin to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Bank Stock refer to our How to Trade Bank Stock guide.You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Bank diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank of Marin. Projected growth potential of Bank fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Bank of Marin data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.679 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 0.62 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.13 |
Understanding Bank of Marin requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Bank's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Bank of Marin's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Bank of Marin's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Bank of Marin's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bank of Marin should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Bank of Marin's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.