Popular Capital Preferred Stock Forward View
| BPOPM Preferred Stock | USD 25.11 0.22 0.87% |
Popular Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of Popular Capital's share price is approaching 36 suggesting that the preferred stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Popular Capital, making its price go up or down. Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Popular Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Popular Capital Trust from the perspective of Popular Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Popular Capital Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 25.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.37. Popular Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 25.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Popular |
Popular Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Popular price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Popular using various technical indicators. When you analyze Popular charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Popular Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Popular Capital Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 25.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Popular Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Popular Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Popular Capital Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Popular Capital | Popular Capital Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Popular Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Popular Capital's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Popular Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.58 and 25.78, respectively. We have considered Popular Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Popular Capital preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Popular Capital preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.936 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1027 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0041 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.3673 |
Predictive Modules for Popular Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Popular Capital Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Popular Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Popular Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Popular Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Popular Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Popular Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Popular Capital's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Popular Capital's historical news coverage. Popular Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.51 and 25.71, respectively. We have considered Popular Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Popular Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Popular Capital Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Popular Capital Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Popular Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Popular Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Popular Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.11 | 25.11 | 0.00 |
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Popular Capital Hype Timeline
Popular Capital Trust is currently traded for 25.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Popular is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Popular Capital is about 47.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.07. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of September 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Popular Capital to cross-verify your projections.Popular Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Popular Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Popular Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Popular Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Popular Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARX | Accelerant Holdings | (0.72) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.15 | (4.65) | 14.20 | |
| GSHD | Goosehead Insurance | (6.98) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.56 | (6.99) | 20.83 | |
| SF | Stifel Financial | 2.13 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.43 | (2.84) | 7.93 | |
| JXN | Jackson Financial | (5.67) | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.14 | 2.83 | (2.76) | 7.12 | |
| HCI | HCI Group | (2.28) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.88 | (3.70) | 9.93 | |
| BOH | Bank of Hawaii | 0.86 | 10 per month | 1.11 | 0.15 | 2.56 | (1.90) | 8.71 | |
| CVBF | CVB Financial | (0.39) | 9 per month | 1.53 | 0.04 | 3.01 | (1.98) | 9.56 | |
| OAK-PB | Oaktree Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | 0.01 | 1.30 | (0.76) | 4.72 | |
| KMPR | Kemper | 0.37 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.31 | (3.46) | 17.08 | |
| BBUC | Brookfield Business Corp | (0.01) | 23 per month | 2.10 | 0.04 | 3.49 | (3.16) | 10.90 |
Other Forecasting Options for Popular Capital
For every potential investor in Popular, whether a beginner or expert, Popular Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Popular Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Popular. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Popular Capital's price trends.Popular Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Popular Capital preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Popular Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Popular Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Popular Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Popular Capital preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Popular Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Popular Capital preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Popular Capital Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.11 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.11) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.22) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 36.27 |
Popular Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Popular Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Popular Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting popular preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.529 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7771 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7883 | |||
| Variance | 0.6214 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9513 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6039 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Popular Capital
The number of cover stories for Popular Capital depends on current market conditions and Popular Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Popular Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Popular Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Popular Capital Short Properties
Popular Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Popular Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Popular Capital Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Popular Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Popular Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 180.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25 B |
Other Information on Investing in Popular Preferred Stock
Popular Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Popular Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Popular with respect to the benefits of owning Popular Capital security.