BrightSpring Health Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BTSG Stock | 37.53 1.57 4.02% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BrightSpring Health Services on the next trading day is expected to be 38.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.08. BrightSpring Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BrightSpring Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 12th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of BrightSpring Health's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.383 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3114 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0308 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3301 | Wall Street Target Price 42.6667 |
Using BrightSpring Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BrightSpring Health Services from the perspective of BrightSpring Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BrightSpring Health using BrightSpring Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BrightSpring using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BrightSpring Health's stock price.
BrightSpring Health Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in BrightSpring Health's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards BrightSpring. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of BrightSpring Health stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 26.1746 | Short Percent 0.1473 | Short Ratio 4.15 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.1 M | 50 Day MA 35.416 |
BrightSpring Health Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BrightSpring Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BrightSpring. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BrightSpring can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BrightSpring Health Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BrightSpring Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BrightSpring Health.
BrightSpring Health Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
BrightSpring Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BrightSpring Health Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BrightSpring Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BrightSpring Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when BrightSpring Health's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BrightSpring Health Services on the next trading day is expected to be 38.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.08. BrightSpring Health after-hype prediction price | USD 37.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BrightSpring | Build AI portfolio with BrightSpring Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 BrightSpring Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast BrightSpring Health's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in BrightSpring Health's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for BrightSpring Health stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current BrightSpring Health's open interest, investors have to compare it to BrightSpring Health's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of BrightSpring Health is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in BrightSpring. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
BrightSpring Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BrightSpring price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BrightSpring using various technical indicators. When you analyze BrightSpring charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BrightSpring Health Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the BrightSpring Health's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 55.1 M | Current Value 55.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 59.4 M |
BrightSpring Health Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BrightSpring Health Services on the next trading day is expected to be 38.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80, mean absolute percentage error of 0.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BrightSpring Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BrightSpring Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BrightSpring Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BrightSpring Health | BrightSpring Health Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BrightSpring Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BrightSpring Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BrightSpring Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.72 and 41.23, respectively. We have considered BrightSpring Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BrightSpring Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BrightSpring Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0947 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8047 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0234 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.0839 |
Predictive Modules for BrightSpring Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BrightSpring Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BrightSpring Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for BrightSpring Health
For every potential investor in BrightSpring, whether a beginner or expert, BrightSpring Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BrightSpring Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BrightSpring. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BrightSpring Health's price trends.BrightSpring Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BrightSpring Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BrightSpring Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BrightSpring Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BrightSpring Health Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BrightSpring Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BrightSpring Health's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BrightSpring Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BrightSpring Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BrightSpring Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BrightSpring Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BrightSpring Health Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BrightSpring Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of BrightSpring Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BrightSpring Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brightspring stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Variance | 5.06 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether BrightSpring Health is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if BrightSpring Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Brightspring Health Services Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Brightspring Health Services Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BrightSpring Health to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BrightSpring Health. If investors know BrightSpring will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BrightSpring Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.383 | Earnings Share 0.54 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.282 | Return On Assets |
The market value of BrightSpring Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BrightSpring that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BrightSpring Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BrightSpring Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BrightSpring Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BrightSpring Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BrightSpring Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BrightSpring Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BrightSpring Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.