Brightspring Health Services Stock Performance

BTSG Stock   40.49  1.22  3.11%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, BrightSpring Health holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.44, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, BrightSpring Health will likely underperform. Please check BrightSpring Health's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether BrightSpring Health's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BrightSpring Health Services are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, BrightSpring Health reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.41)
Five Day Return
(1.38)
Year To Date Return
2.27
Ten Year Return
257
All Time Return
257
1
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Disposition of 6972 shares by Robert Barnes of BrightSpring Health at .64 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/23/2026
12
SG Americas Securities LLC Has 409,000 Holdings in BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. BTSG - MarketBeat
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow13.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-140.2 M

BrightSpring Health Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,203  in BrightSpring Health Services on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  846.00  from holding BrightSpring Health Services or generate 26.41% return on investment over 90 days. BrightSpring Health Services is currently generating 0.3991% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.0323% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than BrightSpring, and 92% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BrightSpring Health is expected to generate 2.72 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.72 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

BrightSpring Health Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of BrightSpring Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 40.49 90 days 40.49 
about 5.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BrightSpring Health to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.04 (This BrightSpring Health Services probability density function shows the probability of BrightSpring Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, BrightSpring Health will likely underperform. Additionally BrightSpring Health Services has an alpha of 0.1873, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BrightSpring Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BrightSpring Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BrightSpring Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BrightSpring Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.5839.5841.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.3445.4347.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.8938.8940.89
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.1644.1348.99
Details

BrightSpring Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BrightSpring Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BrightSpring Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BrightSpring Health Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BrightSpring Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.44
σ
Overall volatility
2.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

BrightSpring Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BrightSpring Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BrightSpring Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (20.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.77 B.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: SG Americas Securities LLC Has 409,000 Holdings in BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. BTSG - MarketBeat

BrightSpring Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BrightSpring Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BrightSpring Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BrightSpring Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding193 M
Cash And Short Term Investments61.3 M

BrightSpring Health Fundamentals Growth

BrightSpring Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of BrightSpring Health, and BrightSpring Health fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on BrightSpring Stock performance.

About BrightSpring Health Performance

By analyzing BrightSpring Health's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into BrightSpring Health's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if BrightSpring Health has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if BrightSpring Health has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 21.74  17.67 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.03 
Return On Equity(0.01)(0.01)

Things to note about BrightSpring Health performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about BrightSpring Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for BrightSpring Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (20.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.77 B.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: SG Americas Securities LLC Has 409,000 Holdings in BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. BTSG - MarketBeat
Evaluating BrightSpring Health's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate BrightSpring Health's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing BrightSpring Health's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether BrightSpring Health's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining BrightSpring Health's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating BrightSpring Health's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of BrightSpring Health's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of BrightSpring Health's stock. These opinions can provide insight into BrightSpring Health's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating BrightSpring Health's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact BrightSpring Health's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for BrightSpring Stock analysis

When running BrightSpring Health's price analysis, check to measure BrightSpring Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BrightSpring Health is operating at the current time. Most of BrightSpring Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BrightSpring Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BrightSpring Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BrightSpring Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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