Nuburu Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

BURU Stock   0.21  0.04  23.53%   
Nuburu Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Nuburu's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nuburu, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nuburu's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nuburu Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nuburu's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.97)
Using Nuburu hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nuburu Inc from the perspective of Nuburu response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Nuburu Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.97.

Nuburu after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuburu to cross-verify your projections.

Nuburu Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nuburu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nuburu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nuburu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Nuburu price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Nuburu Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Nuburu Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.97.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nuburu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nuburu's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nuburu Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nuburu Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nuburu's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nuburu's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.12, respectively. We have considered Nuburu's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.21
0.17
Expected Value
7.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nuburu stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nuburu stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.2384
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0157
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.073
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9731
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Nuburu Inc historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Nuburu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuburu Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.207.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.197.15
Details

Nuburu After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nuburu at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nuburu or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nuburu, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nuburu Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nuburu's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nuburu's historical news coverage. Nuburu's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 7.16, respectively. We have considered Nuburu's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.21
0.20
After-hype Price
7.16
Upside
Nuburu is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nuburu Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nuburu Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nuburu is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nuburu backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nuburu, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.46 
6.96
  0.01 
  0.03 
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.21
0.20
4.76 
34,800  
Notes

Nuburu Hype Timeline

Nuburu Inc is currently traded for 0.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Nuburu is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.76%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Nuburu is about 9666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.18. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Nuburu Inc had 1:40 split on the 24th of July 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuburu to cross-verify your projections.

Nuburu Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nuburu's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nuburu's future price movements. Getting to know how Nuburu's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nuburu may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CVVCVD Equipment 0.17 26 per month 3.73  0.09  8.05 (6.95) 38.13 
SHMDWSCHMID Group NV 0.13 7 per month 10.70  0.29  30.14 (13.54) 97.78 
XTIAXTI Aerospace 0.06 10 per month 4.56  0.06  11.24 (7.91) 25.06 
SGRPSPAR Group(0.02)25 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.49 (3.66) 17.23 
MGNMegan Holdings Limited(0.16)2 per month 4.83  0.02  13.92 (8.06) 28.48 
GTECGreenland Acquisition Corp(0.08)10 per month 8.84  0.01  19.23 (14.86) 50.83 
PSHGPerformance Shipping 0.04 9 per month 3.13  0.03  4.98 (4.25) 16.86 
GLBSGlobus Maritime 0.01 9 per month 3.00  0.11  12.58 (7.01) 26.30 
SIDUSidus Space(0.91)10 per month 8.49  0.14  34.88 (14.96) 125.36 
BTOCArmlogi Holding Corp 0.04 8 per month 0.00 (0.10) 5.77 (7.41) 20.70 

Other Forecasting Options for Nuburu

For every potential investor in Nuburu, whether a beginner or expert, Nuburu's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nuburu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nuburu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nuburu's price trends.

Nuburu Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nuburu stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nuburu could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nuburu by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nuburu Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nuburu stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nuburu shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nuburu stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nuburu Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nuburu Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nuburu's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nuburu's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nuburu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Nuburu

The number of cover stories for Nuburu depends on current market conditions and Nuburu's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nuburu is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nuburu's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nuburu Short Properties

Nuburu's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nuburu's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nuburu Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nuburu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nuburu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments209.3 K

Additional Tools for Nuburu Stock Analysis

When running Nuburu's price analysis, check to measure Nuburu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nuburu is operating at the current time. Most of Nuburu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nuburu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nuburu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nuburu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.