Byline Bancorp Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| BY Stock | USD 31.93 0.09 0.28% |
Byline Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Byline Bancorp's stock price is slightly above 61 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Byline, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.119 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7267 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.09 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.208 | Wall Street Target Price 35 |
Using Byline Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Byline Bancorp from the perspective of Byline Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Byline Bancorp using Byline Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Byline using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Byline Bancorp's stock price.
Byline Bancorp Short Interest
An investor who is long Byline Bancorp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Byline Bancorp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Byline Bancorp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 27.707 | Short Percent 0.0389 | Short Ratio 1.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 527.8 K | 50 Day MA 29.7384 |
Byline Relative Strength Index
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Byline Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 31.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.24.Byline Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Byline Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Byline. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Byline can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Byline Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Byline Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Byline Bancorp.
Byline Bancorp Implied Volatility | 0.98 |
Byline Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Byline Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Byline Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Byline Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Byline Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Byline Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 31.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.24. Byline Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 31.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Byline Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Byline Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Byline Bancorp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Byline Bancorp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Byline Bancorp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Byline Bancorp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Byline Bancorp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Byline Bancorp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Byline. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Byline Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Byline price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Byline using various technical indicators. When you analyze Byline charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Byline Bancorp Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Byline Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 31.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Byline Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Byline Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Byline Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Byline Bancorp | Byline Bancorp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Byline Bancorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Byline Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Byline Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.33 and 33.33, respectively. We have considered Byline Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Byline Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Byline Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4205 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5778 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0198 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.2438 |
Predictive Modules for Byline Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Byline Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Byline Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Byline Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Byline Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Byline Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Byline Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Byline Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Byline Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Byline Bancorp's historical news coverage. Byline Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.43 and 33.43, respectively. We have considered Byline Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Byline Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Byline Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Byline Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Byline Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Byline Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Byline Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.24 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.93 | 31.93 | 0.00 |
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Byline Bancorp Hype Timeline
As of February 1, 2026 Byline Bancorp is listed for 31.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.24. Byline is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Byline Bancorp is about 180.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.17. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.14. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Byline Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 3rd of February 2026. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Byline Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.Byline Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Byline Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Byline Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Byline Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Byline Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RBCAA | Republic Bancorp | 0.53 | 1 per month | 1.29 | 0.04 | 3.24 | (2.43) | 9.56 | |
| QCRH | QCR Holdings | 0.04 | 8 per month | 1.10 | 0.15 | 2.83 | (1.74) | 8.45 | |
| WABC | Westamerica Bancorporation | (0.42) | 7 per month | 1.15 | 0.03 | 2.97 | (1.77) | 7.62 | |
| CNOB | ConnectOne Bancorp | 0.95 | 9 per month | 1.17 | 0.07 | 3.61 | (2.13) | 9.27 | |
| PFBC | Preferred Bank | 1.48 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.42 | (2.14) | 12.44 | |
| FSUN | FirstSun Capital Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.66 | (0.01) | 3.49 | (3.21) | 16.54 | |
| WAFD | Washington Federal | 0.71 | 7 per month | 1.46 | 0.08 | 3.19 | (2.74) | 7.68 | |
| BFC | Bank First National | 4.19 | 7 per month | 1.36 | 0.04 | 3.17 | (2.26) | 7.45 | |
| STBA | ST Bancorp | 0.90 | 6 per month | 1.37 | 0.13 | 2.62 | (2.81) | 9.17 | |
| PEBO | Peoples Bancorp | (0.08) | 9 per month | 1.12 | 0.09 | 2.92 | (2.17) | 7.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for Byline Bancorp
For every potential investor in Byline, whether a beginner or expert, Byline Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Byline Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Byline. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Byline Bancorp's price trends.Byline Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Byline Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Byline Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Byline Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Byline Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Byline Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Byline Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Byline Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Byline Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Byline Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Byline Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Byline Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting byline stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9983 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Variance | 2.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9966 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Byline Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Byline Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Byline Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Byline Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Byline Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Byline Stock Analysis
When running Byline Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Byline Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Byline Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Byline Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Byline Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Byline Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Byline Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.