Kanzhun Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

BZ Stock  USD 12.76  0.16  1.24%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kanzhun Ltd ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 12.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.16. Kanzhun Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Kanzhun's Fixed Asset Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 0.41 in 2024, despite the fact that Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to (15.93). . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to rise to about 129.5 M in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 334.2 M in 2024.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Kanzhun works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Kanzhun Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kanzhun Ltd ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 12.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kanzhun Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kanzhun's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kanzhun Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kanzhun Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kanzhun's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kanzhun's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.41 and 17.75, respectively. We have considered Kanzhun's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.76
12.58
Expected Value
17.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kanzhun stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kanzhun stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0223
MADMean absolute deviation0.4434
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0295
SAESum of the absolute errors26.1604
When Kanzhun Ltd ADR prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Kanzhun Ltd ADR trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Kanzhun observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Kanzhun

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kanzhun Ltd ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.7512.9218.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6315.8020.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.6313.3314.03
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.0718.7620.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kanzhun. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kanzhun's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kanzhun's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kanzhun Ltd ADR.

Other Forecasting Options for Kanzhun

For every potential investor in Kanzhun, whether a beginner or expert, Kanzhun's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kanzhun Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kanzhun. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kanzhun's price trends.

Kanzhun Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kanzhun stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kanzhun could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kanzhun by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kanzhun Ltd ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kanzhun's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kanzhun's current price.

Kanzhun Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kanzhun stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kanzhun shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kanzhun stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kanzhun Ltd ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kanzhun Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kanzhun's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kanzhun's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kanzhun stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Kanzhun Stock Analysis

When running Kanzhun's price analysis, check to measure Kanzhun's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kanzhun is operating at the current time. Most of Kanzhun's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kanzhun's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kanzhun's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kanzhun to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.