BuzzFeed Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BZFD Stock | USD 0.92 0.01 0.54% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BuzzFeed on the next trading day is expected to be 1.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.55. BuzzFeed Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BuzzFeed stock prices and determine the direction of BuzzFeed's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BuzzFeed's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of BuzzFeed's share price is approaching 37 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BuzzFeed, making its price go up or down. Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.13 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.54) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.19) | Wall Street Target Price 4 |
Using BuzzFeed hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BuzzFeed from the perspective of BuzzFeed response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BuzzFeed using BuzzFeed's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BuzzFeed using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BuzzFeed's stock price.
BuzzFeed Implied Volatility | 3.39 |
BuzzFeed's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BuzzFeed stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BuzzFeed's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BuzzFeed stock will not fluctuate a lot when BuzzFeed's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BuzzFeed on the next trading day is expected to be 1.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.55. BuzzFeed after-hype prediction price | USD 0.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BuzzFeed to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 BuzzFeed Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast BuzzFeed's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in BuzzFeed's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for BuzzFeed stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current BuzzFeed's open interest, investors have to compare it to BuzzFeed's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of BuzzFeed is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in BuzzFeed. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
BuzzFeed Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BuzzFeed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BuzzFeed using various technical indicators. When you analyze BuzzFeed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BuzzFeed Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the BuzzFeed's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 29.7 M | Current Value 34.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 44.2 M |
BuzzFeed Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BuzzFeed on the next trading day is expected to be 1.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BuzzFeed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BuzzFeed's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BuzzFeed Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BuzzFeed | BuzzFeed Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BuzzFeed Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BuzzFeed's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BuzzFeed's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.22, respectively. We have considered BuzzFeed's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BuzzFeed stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BuzzFeed stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4454 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0747 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0677 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.5537 |
Predictive Modules for BuzzFeed
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BuzzFeed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BuzzFeed After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BuzzFeed at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BuzzFeed or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BuzzFeed, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BuzzFeed Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BuzzFeed's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BuzzFeed's historical news coverage. BuzzFeed's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 7.05, respectively. We have considered BuzzFeed's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BuzzFeed is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BuzzFeed is based on 3 months time horizon.
BuzzFeed Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BuzzFeed is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BuzzFeed backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BuzzFeed, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.84 | 6.18 | 0.18 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.92 | 0.92 | 0.00 |
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BuzzFeed Hype Timeline
BuzzFeed is currently traded for 0.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. BuzzFeed is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.84%. %. The volatility of related hype on BuzzFeed is about 20600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.95. About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.45. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BuzzFeed recorded a loss per share of 0.91. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:4 split on the 6th of May 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BuzzFeed to cross-verify your projections.BuzzFeed Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BuzzFeed's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BuzzFeed's future price movements. Getting to know how BuzzFeed's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BuzzFeed may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MNY | MoneyHero Limited Class | 0.13 | 8 per month | 4.31 | 0.04 | 9.85 | (5.76) | 39.95 | |
| PODC | Courtside Group Common | 0.03 | 8 per month | 4.40 | 0.14 | 10.59 | (8.30) | 24.81 | |
| LVO | LiveOne | (0.01) | 7 per month | 4.49 | 0.01 | 6.78 | (7.32) | 29.05 | |
| TC | TuanChe ADR | 0.31 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.45 | (10.60) | 31.07 | |
| NAMI | Jinxin Technology Holding | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 14.63 | (9.76) | 57.29 | |
| MDIA | Mediaco Holding | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 6.25 | (7.14) | 17.86 | |
| SEAT | Vivid Seats | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.86 | (10.82) | 24.24 | |
| SCOR | Comscore | (0.06) | 8 per month | 2.97 | 0.04 | 6.86 | (5.28) | 21.93 | |
| RDI | Reading International | (0.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.17 | (4.51) | 14.05 | |
| KORE | KORE Group Holdings | 0.01 | 19 per month | 2.50 | 0.19 | 7.54 | (4.29) | 19.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for BuzzFeed
For every potential investor in BuzzFeed, whether a beginner or expert, BuzzFeed's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BuzzFeed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BuzzFeed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BuzzFeed's price trends.BuzzFeed Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BuzzFeed stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BuzzFeed could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BuzzFeed by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BuzzFeed Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BuzzFeed stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BuzzFeed shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BuzzFeed stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BuzzFeed entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.92 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 37.47 |
BuzzFeed Risk Indicators
The analysis of BuzzFeed's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BuzzFeed's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting buzzfeed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.95 | |||
| Variance | 35.42 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BuzzFeed
The number of cover stories for BuzzFeed depends on current market conditions and BuzzFeed's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BuzzFeed is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BuzzFeed's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BuzzFeed Short Properties
BuzzFeed's future price predictability will typically decrease when BuzzFeed's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BuzzFeed often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BuzzFeed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BuzzFeed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BuzzFeed to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade BuzzFeed Stock refer to our How to Trade BuzzFeed Stock guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BuzzFeed. If investors know BuzzFeed will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BuzzFeed listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | Earnings Share (0.91) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) | Return On Assets |
The market value of BuzzFeed is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BuzzFeed that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BuzzFeed's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BuzzFeed's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BuzzFeed's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BuzzFeed's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BuzzFeed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BuzzFeed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BuzzFeed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.