CACI International Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CACI Stock | USD 620.58 0.00 0.00% |
CACI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of CACI International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of CACI International's share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CACI International, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.145 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 7.1651 | EPS Estimate Current Year 28.7163 | EPS Estimate Next Year 31.8482 | Wall Street Target Price 713.5 |
Using CACI International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CACI International from the perspective of CACI International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CACI International using CACI International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CACI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CACI International's stock price.
CACI International Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CACI International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CACI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CACI International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 514.2802 | Short Percent 0.0303 | Short Ratio 1.79 | Shares Short Prior Month 668.7 K | 50 Day MA 592.6966 |
CACI Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CACI International on the next trading day is expected to be 620.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 475.44.CACI International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CACI International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CACI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CACI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CACI International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CACI International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CACI International.
CACI International Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
CACI International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CACI International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CACI International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CACI International stock will not fluctuate a lot when CACI International's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CACI International on the next trading day is expected to be 620.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 475.44. CACI International after-hype prediction price | USD 622.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CACI International to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CACI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CACI International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With CACI International trading at USD 620.58, that is roughly USD 0.18 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CACI International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CACI International options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 CACI Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CACI International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CACI International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CACI International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CACI International's open interest, investors have to compare it to CACI International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CACI International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CACI. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CACI International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CACI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CACI using various technical indicators. When you analyze CACI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CACI International Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CACI International on the next trading day is expected to be 620.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.06, mean absolute percentage error of 118.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 475.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CACI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CACI International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CACI International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CACI International | CACI International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CACI International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CACI International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CACI International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 619.01 and 622.15, respectively. We have considered CACI International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CACI International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CACI International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.2132 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.8845 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 8.0584 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0135 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 475.445 |
Predictive Modules for CACI International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CACI International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CACI International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CACI International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CACI International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CACI International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CACI International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CACI International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CACI International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CACI International's historical news coverage. CACI International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 558.52 and 623.73, respectively. We have considered CACI International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CACI International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CACI International is based on 3 months time horizon.
CACI International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CACI International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CACI International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CACI International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.57 | 1.58 | 0.08 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
620.58 | 622.16 | 0.25 |
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CACI International Hype Timeline
CACI International is currently traded for 620.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.58, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. CACI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 622.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 10.91%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on CACI International is about 228.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 620.66. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.63 B. Net Income was 499.83 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.92 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CACI International to cross-verify your projections.CACI International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CACI International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CACI International's future price movements. Getting to know how CACI International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CACI International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JKHY | Jack Henry Associates | (1.54) | 10 per month | 0.99 | 0.13 | 2.26 | (1.97) | 7.13 | |
| SNX | Synnex | 0.85 | 7 per month | 1.73 | 0 | 2.47 | (3.19) | 7.59 | |
| EPAM | EPAM Systems | 6.83 | 10 per month | 1.52 | 0.17 | 4.35 | (2.88) | 10.02 | |
| ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | (5.96) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.83 | (4.13) | 11.68 | |
| SWKS | Skyworks Solutions | 0.68 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.88 | (5.16) | 15.56 | |
| AUR | Aurora Innovation | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.32 | (6.15) | 19.18 | |
| AKAM | Akamai Technologies | 2.62 | 10 per month | 1.70 | 0.14 | 4.04 | (3.43) | 18.87 | |
| QXO | QXO Inc | (0.56) | 11 per month | 2.45 | 0.09 | 5.47 | (3.95) | 22.99 | |
| SAIL | SailPoint Common Stock | (1.62) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.80 | (6.33) | 12.91 | |
| FFIV | F5 Networks | 5.58 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.75 | (3.18) | 11.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for CACI International
For every potential investor in CACI, whether a beginner or expert, CACI International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CACI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CACI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CACI International's price trends.CACI International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CACI International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CACI International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CACI International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CACI International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CACI International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CACI International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CACI International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CACI International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0261 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 620.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 620.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 16.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.38 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.0 |
CACI International Risk Indicators
The analysis of CACI International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CACI International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting caci stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CACI International
The number of cover stories for CACI International depends on current market conditions and CACI International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CACI International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CACI International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CACI International Short Properties
CACI International's future price predictability will typically decrease when CACI International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CACI International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CACI International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CACI International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CACI International to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in CACI Stock please use our How to Invest in CACI International guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is there potential for IT Consulting & Other Services market expansion? Will CACI introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CACI International. Projected growth potential of CACI fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about CACI International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.145 | Earnings Share 23.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.057 | Return On Assets |
Understanding CACI International requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects CACI's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what CACI International's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push CACI International's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CACI International's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CACI International should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, CACI International's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.