Epam Systems Stock Price Prediction
| EPAM Stock | USD 245.22 10.72 4.57% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
80
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.436 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.7 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.7469 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.2336 | Wall Street Target Price 249.353 |
Using EPAM Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EPAM Systems from the perspective of EPAM Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
EPAM Systems Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to EPAM Systems' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in EPAM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding EPAM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around EPAM Systems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of EPAM Systems' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about EPAM Systems.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in EPAM Systems to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying EPAM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
EPAM Systems after-hype prediction price | USD 244.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
EPAM |
EPAM Systems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EPAM Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EPAM Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EPAM Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EPAM Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EPAM Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EPAM Systems' historical news coverage. EPAM Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 242.21 and 247.31, respectively. We have considered EPAM Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EPAM Systems is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EPAM Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
EPAM Systems Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EPAM Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EPAM Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EPAM Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 2.56 | 0.50 | 0.32 | 7 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
245.22 | 244.76 | 0.19 |
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EPAM Systems Hype Timeline
EPAM Systems is currently traded for 245.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.32. EPAM is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 244.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 200.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on EPAM Systems is about 307.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 244.90. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of EPAM Systems was currently reported as 62.67. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.73. EPAM Systems recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.69. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out EPAM Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.EPAM Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EPAM Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EPAM Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how EPAM Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EPAM Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
EPAM Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EPAM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EPAM using various technical indicators. When you analyze EPAM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About EPAM Systems Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of EPAM Systems stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as EPAM Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of EPAM Systems based on analysis of EPAM Systems hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to EPAM Systems's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to EPAM Systems's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 74.68 | 70.56 | 69.8 | 96.55 | PTB Ratio | 15.19 | 6.26 | 4.95 | 5.19 |
Story Coverage note for EPAM Systems
The number of cover stories for EPAM Systems depends on current market conditions and EPAM Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EPAM Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EPAM Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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EPAM Systems Short Properties
EPAM Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when EPAM Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EPAM Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EPAM Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EPAM Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Check out EPAM Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in EPAM Stock, please use our How to Invest in EPAM Systems guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is IT Consulting & Other Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EPAM Systems. If investors know EPAM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EPAM Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.436 | Earnings Share 7.69 | Revenue Per Share 80.605 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.013 | Return On Assets 0.0833 |
The market value of EPAM Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EPAM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EPAM Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EPAM Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EPAM Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EPAM Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EPAM Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EPAM Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EPAM Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.