Carter Bank Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

CARE Stock  USD 18.65  0.19  1.01%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Carter Bank and on the next trading day is expected to be 18.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.42. Carter Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Carter Bank stock prices and determine the direction of Carter Bank and's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Carter Bank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of November 25, 2024, Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to decline to 0.97. In addition to that, Asset Turnover is expected to decline to 0.03. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 47.4 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 20.8 M.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Carter Bank and is based on a synthetically constructed Carter Bankdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Carter Bank 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Carter Bank and on the next trading day is expected to be 18.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Carter Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Carter Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Carter Bank Stock Forecast Pattern

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Carter Bank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Carter Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Carter Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.97 and 20.92, respectively. We have considered Carter Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.65
18.95
Expected Value
20.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Carter Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Carter Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.7249
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4008
MADMean absolute deviation0.5711
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0304
SAESum of the absolute errors23.415
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Carter Bank 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Carter Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carter Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.6118.6020.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5217.5119.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.5318.7118.89
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.9616.4418.25
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Carter Bank

For every potential investor in Carter, whether a beginner or expert, Carter Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Carter Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Carter. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Carter Bank's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Carter Bank Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Carter Bank's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Carter Bank's current price.

Carter Bank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Carter Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Carter Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Carter Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Carter Bank and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Carter Bank Risk Indicators

The analysis of Carter Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Carter Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting carter stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Carter Bank is a strong investment it is important to analyze Carter Bank's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Carter Bank's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Carter Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Carter Bank to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carter Bank. If investors know Carter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carter Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.532
Earnings Share
0.63
Revenue Per Share
5.638
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.087
Return On Assets
0.0032
The market value of Carter Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carter Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carter Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carter Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carter Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carter Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carter Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carter Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.