Capital Bancorp Stock Forward View
| CBNK Stock | USD 30.72 0.30 0.99% |
Capital Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Capital Bancorp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Capital Bancorp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Capital Bancorp fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Capital Bancorp's stock price is about 61 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Capital, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.021 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.77 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.37 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.6567 | Wall Street Target Price 34.6667 |
Using Capital Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capital Bancorp from the perspective of Capital Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Capital Bancorp using Capital Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Capital using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Capital Bancorp's stock price.
Capital Bancorp Short Interest
An investor who is long Capital Bancorp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Capital Bancorp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Capital Bancorp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 31.0014 | Short Percent 0.0264 | Short Ratio 6.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 311.3 K | 50 Day MA 28.843 |
Capital Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Capital Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 30.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.29.Capital Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Capital Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Capital. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Capital can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Capital Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Capital Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Capital Bancorp.
Capital Bancorp Implied Volatility | 0.88 |
Capital Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Capital Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Capital Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Capital Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Capital Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Capital Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 30.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.29. Capital Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 30.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Capital contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Capital Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.055% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Capital Bancorp trading at USD 30.72, that is roughly USD 0.0169 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Capital Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Capital Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Capital Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Capital Bancorp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Capital Bancorp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Capital Bancorp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Capital Bancorp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Capital Bancorp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Capital Bancorp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Capital. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Capital Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Capital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capital using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Capital Bancorp Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Capital Bancorp's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2011-06-30 | Previous Quarter 188.8 M | Current Value 30.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 95.5 M |
Capital Bancorp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Capital Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 30.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Capital Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Capital Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Capital Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Capital Bancorp | Capital Bancorp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Capital Bancorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Capital Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Capital Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.41 and 32.26, respectively. We have considered Capital Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Capital Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Capital Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.6499 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3981 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0139 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.286 |
Predictive Modules for Capital Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capital Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Capital Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capital Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capital Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Capital Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Capital Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capital Bancorp's historical news coverage. Capital Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.26 and 32.10, respectively. We have considered Capital Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Capital Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capital Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Capital Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capital Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capital Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capital Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.42 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
30.72 | 30.68 | 0.13 |
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Capital Bancorp Hype Timeline
Capital Bancorp is currently traded for 30.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Capital is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Capital Bancorp is about 713.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.75. About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.25. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Capital Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 9th of February 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.Capital Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Capital Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capital Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Capital Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capital Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UNTY | Unity Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.15 | 3.33 | (2.87) | 7.55 | |
| BWB | Bridgewater Bancshares | (0.31) | 11 per month | 1.28 | 0.09 | 3.22 | (2.33) | 9.97 | |
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | 2.58 | 7 per month | 1.27 | 0.07 | 3.62 | (1.95) | 9.63 | |
| RRBI | Red River Bancshares | (0.10) | 16 per month | 1.50 | 0.14 | 3.56 | (2.35) | 7.97 | |
| FBIZ | First Business Financial | (0.14) | 11 per month | 1.01 | 0.11 | 3.35 | (1.91) | 8.36 | |
| PFIS | Peoples Fin | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.13 | 3.04 | (1.89) | 8.79 | |
| FMNB | Farmers National Banc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.60 | (0.02) | 2.82 | (2.30) | 11.02 | |
| NFBK | Northfield Bancorp | (0.04) | 8 per month | 1.30 | 0.11 | 3.61 | (2.44) | 8.50 | |
| PGC | Peapack Gladstone Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | 0.13 | 3.97 | (2.33) | 11.04 | |
| NRIM | Northrim BanCorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.31 | 0.02 | 4.46 | (3.09) | 21.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for Capital Bancorp
For every potential investor in Capital, whether a beginner or expert, Capital Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capital Bancorp's price trends.Capital Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Capital Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Capital Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capital Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Capital Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Capital Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Capital Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Capital Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Capital Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Capital Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Capital Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Capital Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting capital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9824 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Variance | 2.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.6 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Capital Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Capital Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Capital Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capital Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capital Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Capital Bancorp Short Properties
Capital Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Capital Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capital Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capital Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 261 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Capital Stock please use our How to buy in Capital Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital Bancorp. Projected growth potential of Capital fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Capital Bancorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.021 | Dividend Share 0.46 | Earnings Share 3.41 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.155 |
Understanding Capital Bancorp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Capital's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Capital Bancorp's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Capital Bancorp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Capital Bancorp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Capital Bancorp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Capital Bancorp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.