CBRE Group Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CBRE Stock  USD 131.65  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CBRE Group Class on the next trading day is expected to be 131.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.49. CBRE Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CBRE Group stock prices and determine the direction of CBRE Group Class's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CBRE Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to -56.29. In addition to that, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 5.11. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 1.7 B, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 304.2 M.
CBRE Group simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for CBRE Group Class are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as CBRE Group Class prices get older.

CBRE Group Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CBRE Group Class on the next trading day is expected to be 131.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.42, mean absolute percentage error of 4.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CBRE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CBRE Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CBRE Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CBRE GroupCBRE Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

CBRE Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CBRE Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CBRE Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 130.01 and 133.31, respectively. We have considered CBRE Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
131.65
130.01
Downside
131.66
Expected Value
133.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CBRE Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CBRE Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.5618
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.349
MADMean absolute deviation1.4178
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0112
SAESum of the absolute errors86.4872
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting CBRE Group Class forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent CBRE Group observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for CBRE Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CBRE Group Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
129.83131.46133.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
119.35120.98144.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
128.83132.82136.81
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
82.5590.71100.69
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CBRE Group

For every potential investor in CBRE, whether a beginner or expert, CBRE Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CBRE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CBRE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CBRE Group's price trends.

CBRE Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CBRE Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CBRE Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CBRE Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CBRE Group Class Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CBRE Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CBRE Group's current price.

CBRE Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CBRE Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CBRE Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CBRE Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CBRE Group Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CBRE Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of CBRE Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CBRE Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cbre stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether CBRE Group Class is a strong investment it is important to analyze CBRE Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CBRE Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CBRE Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CBRE Group to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CBRE Group. If investors know CBRE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CBRE Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.197
Earnings Share
3.08
Revenue Per Share
112.191
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.148
Return On Assets
0.0415
The market value of CBRE Group Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CBRE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CBRE Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CBRE Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CBRE Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CBRE Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CBRE Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CBRE Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CBRE Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.