Community Bank Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

Community Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Community price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Community using various technical indicators. When you analyze Community charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Community Bank price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Community Bank Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Community Bank System on the next trading day is expected to be 64.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08, mean absolute percentage error of 1.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.14.

Community Bank Stock Forecast Pattern

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Community Bank Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Community Bank Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Community Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Community Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Community Bank System historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Community Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Community Bank System. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 65.72 67.27 68.82 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 59.75 71.11 72.66 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Community Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Community Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Community Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Community Bank System.

Community Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Community Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Community Bank Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Community Bank Hype Timeline

On the 8th of February Community Bank System is traded for 66.39. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.08. Community is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 67.27 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 1.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Community Bank is about 540.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.47. The company reported the last year's revenue of 928.71 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 182.48 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 796.94 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Community Bank to cross-verify your projections.

Community Bank Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Community Bank

For every potential investor in Community, whether a beginner or expert, Community Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Community Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Community. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Community Bank's price trends.

Community Bank Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Community Bank Market Strength Events

Community Bank Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Community Bank

Additional Tools for Community Stock Analysis