CNB Financial Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CCNE Stock  USD 28.38  0.25  0.89%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CNB Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 27.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.32. CNB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CNB Financial stock prices and determine the direction of CNB Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CNB Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of November 26, 2024, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to -0.004. In addition to that, Receivables Turnover is expected to decline to 3.12. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 71.1 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 13 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for CNB Financial is based on an artificially constructed time series of CNB Financial daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

CNB Financial 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CNB Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 27.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 1.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CNB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CNB Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CNB Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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CNB Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CNB Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CNB Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.25 and 30.36, respectively. We have considered CNB Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.38
27.80
Expected Value
30.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CNB Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CNB Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.2615
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.392
MADMean absolute deviation0.7837
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0306
SAESum of the absolute errors42.3213
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. CNB Financial 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for CNB Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNB Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.8828.4130.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.2824.8031.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
27.0627.9128.75
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.4822.5024.98
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CNB Financial

For every potential investor in CNB, whether a beginner or expert, CNB Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CNB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CNB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CNB Financial's price trends.

CNB Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CNB Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CNB Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CNB Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CNB Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CNB Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CNB Financial's current price.

CNB Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CNB Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CNB Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CNB Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CNB Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CNB Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of CNB Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CNB Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cnb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether CNB Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze CNB Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CNB Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CNB Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNB Financial to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CNB Stock refer to our How to Trade CNB Stock guide.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNB Financial. If investors know CNB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CNB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.017
Dividend Share
0.705
Earnings Share
2.33
Revenue Per Share
10.398
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.038
The market value of CNB Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CNB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CNB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CNB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CNB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CNB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CNB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CNB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.