CNB Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| CCNE Stock | USD 27.09 1.08 3.83% |
CNB Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CNB Financial stock prices and determine the direction of CNB Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CNB Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of CNB Financial's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CNB Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8067 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.825 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.4633 | Wall Street Target Price 28.3333 |
Using CNB Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNB Financial from the perspective of CNB Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CNB Financial using CNB Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CNB using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CNB Financial's stock price.
CNB Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CNB Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CNB. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CNB Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 24.2873 | Short Percent 0.0135 | Short Ratio 2.95 | Shares Short Prior Month 378.5 K | 50 Day MA 26.3742 |
CNB Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CNB Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 27.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.55.CNB Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CNB Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CNB. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CNB can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CNB Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CNB Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CNB Financial.
CNB Financial Implied Volatility | 1.06 |
CNB Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CNB Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CNB Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CNB Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when CNB Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CNB Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 27.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.55. CNB Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 27.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNB Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CNB contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CNB Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0663% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With CNB Financial trading at USD 27.09, that is roughly USD 0.0179 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CNB Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CNB Financial options at the current volatility level of 1.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 CNB Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CNB Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CNB Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CNB Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CNB Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to CNB Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CNB Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CNB. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CNB Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CNB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNB using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CNB Financial Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CNB Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 27.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70, mean absolute percentage error of 0.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CNB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CNB Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CNB Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CNB Financial | CNB Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CNB Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CNB Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CNB Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.15 and 29.19, respectively. We have considered CNB Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CNB Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CNB Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7559 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6975 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0266 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 42.5498 |
Predictive Modules for CNB Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNB Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CNB Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CNB Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNB Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNB Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CNB Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CNB Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNB Financial's historical news coverage. CNB Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.58 and 28.60, respectively. We have considered CNB Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CNB Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNB Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
CNB Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CNB Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNB Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNB Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.52 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.09 | 27.09 | 0.00 |
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CNB Financial Hype Timeline
CNB Financial is currently traded for 27.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. CNB is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on CNB Financial is about 571.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.15. About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.02. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CNB Financial last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The entity had 25:10 split on the 24th of May 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNB Financial to cross-verify your projections.CNB Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CNB Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNB Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how CNB Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNB Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BFST | Business First Bancshares | 0.74 | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0.11 | 2.88 | (1.66) | 10.57 | |
| TRST | TrustCo Bank Corp | (0.62) | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0.11 | 2.71 | (1.69) | 12.39 | |
| AMTB | Amerant Bancorp | (0.44) | 8 per month | 1.90 | 0.06 | 3.95 | (3.75) | 10.32 | |
| MBWM | Mercantile Bank | (0.42) | 8 per month | 1.20 | 0.08 | 3.78 | (2.55) | 9.88 | |
| NBN | Northeast Bancorp | 6.18 | 10 per month | 2.18 | 0.1 | 4.10 | (4.25) | 13.72 | |
| HBT | Hbt Financial | (0.31) | 2 per month | 1.44 | 0.03 | 3.07 | (2.90) | 8.89 | |
| HTB | HomeTrust Bancshares | (0.87) | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.01 | 2.66 | (2.38) | 9.13 | |
| MCB | Metropolitan Bank Holding | (2.25) | 6 per month | 1.60 | 0.06 | 3.80 | (2.90) | 19.32 | |
| HBNC | Horizon Bancorp | 0.07 | 9 per month | 1.36 | 0.05 | 3.87 | (2.12) | 11.94 | |
| CCBG | Capital City Bank | 0.58 | 10 per month | 1.29 | 0.06 | 3.09 | (2.90) | 8.54 |
Other Forecasting Options for CNB Financial
For every potential investor in CNB, whether a beginner or expert, CNB Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CNB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CNB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CNB Financial's price trends.CNB Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CNB Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CNB Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CNB Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CNB Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CNB Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CNB Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CNB Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CNB Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CNB Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of CNB Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CNB Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cnb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9528 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Variance | 2.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9077 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CNB Financial
The number of cover stories for CNB Financial depends on current market conditions and CNB Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CNB Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CNB Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CNB Financial Short Properties
CNB Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when CNB Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CNB Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CNB Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNB Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 846.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNB Financial to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade CNB Stock refer to our How to Trade CNB Stock guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNB Financial. If investors know CNB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CNB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 1.92 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.056 |
The market value of CNB Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CNB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CNB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CNB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CNB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CNB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CNB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CNB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.