Community Healthcare Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CHCT Stock | USD 16.79 0.04 0.24% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Community Healthcare Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 17.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.18. Community Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Community Healthcare's stock price is slightly above 68 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Community, making its price go up or down. Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.08 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.24) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.47 | Wall Street Target Price 17.8 |
Using Community Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Community Healthcare Trust from the perspective of Community Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Community Healthcare using Community Healthcare's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Community using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Community Healthcare's stock price.
Community Healthcare Short Interest
An investor who is long Community Healthcare may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Community Healthcare and may potentially protect profits, hedge Community Healthcare with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 15.7851 | Short Percent 0.0365 | Short Ratio 2.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 1 M | 50 Day MA 15.2916 |
Community Healthcare Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Community Healthcare's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Community. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Community can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Community Healthcare Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Community Healthcare's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Community Healthcare.
Community Healthcare Implied Volatility | 0.65 |
Community Healthcare's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Community Healthcare Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Community Healthcare's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Community Healthcare stock will not fluctuate a lot when Community Healthcare's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Community Healthcare Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 17.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.18. Community Healthcare after-hype prediction price | USD 16.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Community | Build AI portfolio with Community Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Community Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Community Healthcare's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Community Healthcare's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Community Healthcare stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Community Healthcare's open interest, investors have to compare it to Community Healthcare's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Community Healthcare is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Community. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Community Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Community price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Community using various technical indicators. When you analyze Community charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Community Healthcare's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2014-12-31 | Previous Quarter 4.9 M | Current Value 3.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 6.7 M |
Community Healthcare Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Community Healthcare Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 17.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Community Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Community Healthcare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Community Healthcare Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Community Healthcare | Community Healthcare Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Community Healthcare Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Community Healthcare's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Community Healthcare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.61 and 18.75, respectively. We have considered Community Healthcare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Community Healthcare stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Community Healthcare stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9698 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1803 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.1805 |
Predictive Modules for Community Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Community Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Community Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Community Healthcare
For every potential investor in Community, whether a beginner or expert, Community Healthcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Community Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Community. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Community Healthcare's price trends.Community Healthcare Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Community Healthcare stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Community Healthcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Community Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Community Healthcare Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Community Healthcare's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Community Healthcare's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Community Healthcare Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Community Healthcare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Community Healthcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Community Healthcare stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Community Healthcare Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2529.96 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.14) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.86 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.83 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 68.06 |
Community Healthcare Risk Indicators
The analysis of Community Healthcare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Community Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting community stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Variance | 2.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.8 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Community Stock Analysis
When running Community Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Community Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Community Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Community Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Community Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Community Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Community Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.