Choice Hotels Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

CHH Stock  USD 109.83  2.08  1.93%   
Choice Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Choice Hotels' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 11th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Choice Hotels' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Choice Hotels' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Choice Hotels International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Choice Hotels' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.739
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.5213
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.9288
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.1282
Wall Street Target Price
108
Using Choice Hotels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Choice Hotels International from the perspective of Choice Hotels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Choice Hotels using Choice Hotels' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Choice using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Choice Hotels' stock price.

Choice Hotels Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Choice Hotels' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Choice. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Choice Hotels stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
112.3536
Short Percent
0.5732
Short Ratio
8.05
Shares Short Prior Month
6.4 M
50 Day MA
98.6646

Choice Relative Strength Index

Choice Hotels Intern Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Choice Hotels' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Choice. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Choice can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Choice Hotels International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Choice Hotels' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Choice Hotels.

Choice Hotels Implied Volatility

    
  0.71  
Choice Hotels' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Choice Hotels International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Choice Hotels' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Choice Hotels stock will not fluctuate a lot when Choice Hotels' options are near their expiration.

Choice Hotels after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 110.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Choice Hotels to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Choice contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Choice Hotels International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Choice Hotels trading at USD 109.83, that is roughly USD 0.0487 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Choice Hotels' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Choice Hotels International options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Choice Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Choice Hotels' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Choice Hotels' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Choice Hotels stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Choice Hotels' open interest, investors have to compare it to Choice Hotels' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Choice Hotels is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Choice. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Choice Hotels Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Choice price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Choice using various technical indicators. When you analyze Choice charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Choice Hotels International has current Accumulation Distribution of 19184.55. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Choice Hotels is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Choice Hotels International to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Choice Hotels trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Choice Hotels VolatilityBacktest Choice HotelsInformation Ratio  

Choice Hotels Trading Date Momentum

On February 10 2026 Choice Hotels International was traded for  109.83  at the closing time. Highest Choice Hotels's price during the trading hours was 111.00  and the lowest price during the day was  107.89 . The net volume was 684.7 K. The overall trading history on the 10th of February did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.76% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Choice Hotels to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Choice Hotels

For every potential investor in Choice, whether a beginner or expert, Choice Hotels' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Choice Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Choice. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Choice Hotels' price trends.

Choice Hotels Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Choice Hotels stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Choice Hotels could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Choice Hotels by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Choice Hotels Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Choice Hotels stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Choice Hotels shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Choice Hotels stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Choice Hotels International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Choice Hotels Risk Indicators

The analysis of Choice Hotels' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Choice Hotels' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting choice stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Choice Hotels

The number of cover stories for Choice Hotels depends on current market conditions and Choice Hotels' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Choice Hotels is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Choice Hotels' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Choice Hotels Short Properties

Choice Hotels' future price predictability will typically decrease when Choice Hotels' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Choice Hotels International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Choice Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Choice Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments40.2 M
When determining whether Choice Hotels Intern offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Choice Hotels' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Choice Hotels International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Choice Hotels International Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Choice Hotels to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is there potential for Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines market expansion? Will Choice introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Choice Hotels. Projected growth potential of Choice fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Choice Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.739
Dividend Share
1.15
Earnings Share
8.27
Revenue Per Share
17.688
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.085
The market value of Choice Hotels Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Choice that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Choice Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Choice Hotels' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Choice Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Choice Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Choice Hotels' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Choice Hotels should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Choice Hotels' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.