CNA Financial Stock Forward View
| CNA Stock | USD 48.80 0.33 0.67% |
CNA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CNA Financial stock prices and determine the direction of CNA Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of CNA Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength indicator of CNA Financial's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.423 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.55 | Wall Street Target Price 43 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.34 |
Using CNA Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNA Financial from the perspective of CNA Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CNA Financial using CNA Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CNA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CNA Financial's stock price.
CNA Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CNA Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CNA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CNA Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 46.6015 | Short Percent 0.0817 | Short Ratio 4.56 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 46.9978 |
CNA Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CNA Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 50.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.00.CNA Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CNA Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CNA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CNA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CNA Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CNA Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CNA Financial.
CNA Financial Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
CNA Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CNA Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CNA Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CNA Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when CNA Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CNA Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 50.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.00. CNA Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 48.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNA Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CNA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CNA Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With CNA Financial trading at USD 48.8, that is roughly USD 0.018 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CNA Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CNA Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 CNA Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CNA Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CNA Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CNA Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CNA Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to CNA Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CNA Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CNA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CNA Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CNA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNA using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CNA Financial Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the CNA Financial's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1994-03-31 | Previous Quarter 373 M | Current Value 483 M | Quarterly Volatility 151 M |
CNA Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CNA Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 50.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CNA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CNA Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CNA Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CNA Financial | CNA Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CNA Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CNA Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CNA Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.54 and 51.54, respectively. We have considered CNA Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CNA Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CNA Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5594 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6614 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0142 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.0043 |
Predictive Modules for CNA Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNA Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CNA Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CNA Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNA Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNA Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CNA Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CNA Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNA Financial's historical news coverage. CNA Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.81 and 49.81, respectively. We have considered CNA Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CNA Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNA Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
CNA Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CNA Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNA Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNA Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
48.80 | 48.81 | 0.02 |
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CNA Financial Hype Timeline
On the 11th of February 2026 CNA Financial is traded for 48.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. CNA is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 48.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on CNA Financial is about 179.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.86. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.58 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 959 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.79 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNA Financial to cross-verify your projections.CNA Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CNA Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNA Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how CNA Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNA Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AFG | American Financial Group | 0.60 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.79 | (2.02) | 7.74 | |
| KNSL | Kinsale Capital Group | 3.85 | 9 per month | 1.96 | (0.03) | 3.98 | (3.51) | 10.63 | |
| RNR | Renaissancere Holdings | 2.12 | 8 per month | 1.24 | 0.05 | 2.22 | (2.01) | 8.86 | |
| RGA | Reinsurance Group of | 0.66 | 10 per month | 0.91 | 0.09 | 2.36 | (2.08) | 12.08 | |
| FHN | First Horizon National | (0.23) | 7 per month | 0.97 | 0.13 | 3.35 | (1.71) | 7.47 | |
| UNM | Unum Group | (0.75) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.78 | (1.70) | 6.86 | |
| AEG | Aegon NV ADR | (0.09) | 8 per month | 2.08 | (0.01) | 2.74 | (2.18) | 11.41 | |
| BSAC | Banco Santander Chile | (1.11) | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.17 | 2.85 | (2.86) | 8.40 | |
| ORI | Old Republic International | (0.04) | 9 per month | 2.06 | 0.04 | 2.47 | (1.95) | 12.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for CNA Financial
For every potential investor in CNA, whether a beginner or expert, CNA Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CNA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CNA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CNA Financial's price trends.CNA Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CNA Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CNA Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CNA Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CNA Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CNA Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CNA Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CNA Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CNA Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 20235.79 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.23) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 48.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 48.52 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.25 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.33) |
CNA Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of CNA Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CNA Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.777 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.805 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.648 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CNA Financial
The number of cover stories for CNA Financial depends on current market conditions and CNA Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CNA Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CNA Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CNA Financial Short Properties
CNA Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when CNA Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CNA Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CNA Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNA Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 272.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNA Financial to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade CNA Stock refer to our How to Trade CNA Stock guide.You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNA Financial. Projected growth potential of CNA fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive CNA Financial assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.423 | Earnings Share 3.64 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.055 | Return On Assets |
Understanding CNA Financial requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects CNA's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what CNA Financial's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push CNA Financial's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CNA Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CNA Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, CNA Financial's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.