Clearway Energy Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CWEN Stock | USD 38.64 1.06 2.82% |
Clearway Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Clearway Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Clearway Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Clearway Energy fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Clearway Energy's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.556 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.07) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8601 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7064 | Wall Street Target Price 41.5 |
Using Clearway Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Clearway Energy Class from the perspective of Clearway Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Clearway Energy using Clearway Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Clearway using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Clearway Energy's stock price.
Clearway Energy Short Interest
An investor who is long Clearway Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Clearway Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Clearway Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 31.8515 | Short Percent 0.1007 | Short Ratio 5.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.1 M | 50 Day MA 34.4288 |
Clearway Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Clearway Energy Class on the next trading day is expected to be 38.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.68.Clearway Energy Class Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Clearway Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Clearway. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Clearway can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Clearway Energy Class. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Clearway Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Clearway Energy.
Clearway Energy Implied Volatility | 0.6 |
Clearway Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Clearway Energy Class stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Clearway Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Clearway Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Clearway Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Clearway Energy Class on the next trading day is expected to be 38.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.68. Clearway Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 38.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clearway Energy to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Clearway contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Clearway Energy Class will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0375% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Clearway Energy trading at USD 38.64, that is roughly USD 0.0145 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Clearway Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Clearway Energy Class options at the current volatility level of 0.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Clearway Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Clearway Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Clearway Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Clearway Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Clearway Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Clearway Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Clearway Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Clearway. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Clearway Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Clearway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Clearway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Clearway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Clearway Energy Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Clearway Energy Class on the next trading day is expected to be 38.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clearway Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clearway Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Clearway Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Clearway Energy | Clearway Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Clearway Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Clearway Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Clearway Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.15 and 40.52, respectively. We have considered Clearway Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clearway Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clearway Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 7.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4352 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0126 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.6784 |
Predictive Modules for Clearway Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clearway Energy Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Clearway Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Clearway Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Clearway Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Clearway Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Clearway Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Clearway Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Clearway Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Clearway Energy's historical news coverage. Clearway Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.92 and 40.30, respectively. We have considered Clearway Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Clearway Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Clearway Energy Class is based on 3 months time horizon.
Clearway Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Clearway Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Clearway Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Clearway Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.69 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 29 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 29 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
38.64 | 38.61 | 0.08 |
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Clearway Energy Hype Timeline
Clearway Energy Class is currently traded for 38.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Clearway is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 38.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Clearway Energy is about 295.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.74. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Clearway Energy was currently reported as 17.38. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 29 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clearway Energy to cross-verify your projections.Clearway Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Clearway Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Clearway Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Clearway Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Clearway Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ORA | Ormat Technologies | 3.55 | 10 per month | 1.66 | 0.07 | 3.13 | (2.41) | 9.17 | |
| BEPC | Brookfield Renewable Corp | 0.99 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.92 | (2.68) | 8.08 | |
| BEP | Brookfield Renewable Partners | (0.18) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.22 | (2.29) | 7.80 | |
| CIG-C | Energy of Minas | (0.03) | 6 per month | 1.96 | 0.03 | 4.09 | (3.09) | 12.96 | |
| CIG | Companhia Energetica de | (0.01) | 6 per month | 2.08 | (0.01) | 3.00 | (3.20) | 9.11 | |
| TXNM | TXNM Energy | 0.15 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.52 | (0.31) | 1.45 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | (0.22) | 9 per month | 1.02 | (0.07) | 1.32 | (1.37) | 5.00 | |
| SWX | Southwest Gas Holdings | (0.22) | 7 per month | 1.17 | (0.03) | 1.96 | (1.68) | 5.76 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | 1.91 | 8 per month | 0.83 | 0.0005 | 1.66 | (1.35) | 4.65 | |
| PCG | PGE Corp | (0.22) | 11 per month | 1.49 | (0.02) | 1.79 | (2.31) | 6.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for Clearway Energy
For every potential investor in Clearway, whether a beginner or expert, Clearway Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Clearway Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Clearway. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Clearway Energy's price trends.Clearway Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Clearway Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Clearway Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clearway Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Clearway Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Clearway Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Clearway Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Clearway Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Clearway Energy Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Clearway Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Clearway Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Clearway Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting clearway stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Clearway Energy
The number of cover stories for Clearway Energy depends on current market conditions and Clearway Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Clearway Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Clearway Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Clearway Energy Short Properties
Clearway Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Clearway Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Clearway Energy Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Clearway Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clearway Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 118 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 332 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clearway Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Will Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector continue expanding? Could Clearway diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clearway Energy. Projected growth potential of Clearway fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Clearway Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.556 | Dividend Share 1.739 | Earnings Share 2.35 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
Investors evaluate Clearway Energy Class using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Clearway Energy's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Clearway Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Clearway Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Clearway Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Clearway Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.