Dogness International Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

DOGZ Stock  USD 45.12  2.85  5.94%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dogness International Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 45.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 159.63. Dogness Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Receivables Turnover is likely to rise to 5.04 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 3.50 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 10 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to rise to about (6.2 M) in 2024.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Dogness International works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Dogness International Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dogness International Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 45.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.71, mean absolute percentage error of 12.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 159.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dogness Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dogness International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dogness International Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dogness InternationalDogness International Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Dogness International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dogness International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dogness International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.90 and 54.51, respectively. We have considered Dogness International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45.12
45.71
Expected Value
54.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dogness International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dogness International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.5858
MADMean absolute deviation2.7057
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.069
SAESum of the absolute errors159.6334
When Dogness International Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Dogness International Corp trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Dogness International observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Dogness International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dogness International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.2648.0656.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4221.2252.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.7544.9151.06
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.733.003.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dogness International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dogness International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dogness International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dogness International.

Other Forecasting Options for Dogness International

For every potential investor in Dogness, whether a beginner or expert, Dogness International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dogness Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dogness. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dogness International's price trends.

Dogness International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dogness International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dogness International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dogness International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dogness International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dogness International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dogness International's current price.

Dogness International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dogness International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dogness International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dogness International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dogness International Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dogness International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dogness International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dogness International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dogness stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Dogness Stock Analysis

When running Dogness International's price analysis, check to measure Dogness International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dogness International is operating at the current time. Most of Dogness International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dogness International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dogness International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dogness International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.