Darden Restaurants Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| DRI Stock | USD 195.80 0.10 0.05% |
This Polynomial Regression projection for Darden Restaurants is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. Older observations carry less weight in the current projection as the price series extends. High SAE relative to the price level signals cumulative forecast drift over the evaluation period. The Polynomial Regression model projects Darden Restaurants at 199.22 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.
Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Polynomial Regression model forecasts Darden Restaurants at 199.22 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 3.05 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 186.27 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Darden Restaurants' recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Darden Restaurants | Darden Restaurants Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for Darden Restaurants frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The model places downside around 197.48 and upside around 200.95 for the next session. The narrow range indicates limited short-term dispersion.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Polynomial Regression model's error metrics for Darden Restaurants stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6504 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0537 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0152 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 186.2739 |
Other Forecasting Options for Darden Restaurants
Fibonacci retracement levels applied to Darden Stock price swings identify potential support and resistance zones. Extreme price moves in Darden occur more frequently than standard risk models assume. Support and resistance levels derived from Darden Restaurants' historical data identify zones where buying or selling pressure has stalled moves. A volume spike without a corresponding price move signals accumulation or distribution ahead of a directional breakout.Darden Restaurants Related Equities
These stocks within the Consumer Discretionary space are often compared to Darden Restaurants by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Profit comparisons show whether Darden Restaurants earns above or below average returns next to its peers. Identifying peers that steadily beat or lag Darden Restaurants across many periods highlights durable competitive gaps.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Darden Restaurants Market Strength Events
Rate of Change and Momentum readings for Darden Restaurants measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in Darden Restaurants have behaved. These indicators are most informative when viewed alongside Darden Restaurants's volume profile and volatility measures. The Price Action Indicator distills each session's open-high-low-close into a single directional score for Darden Restaurants.
Darden Restaurants Risk Indicators
Standard deviation and variance for Darden Restaurants measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that Darden Restaurants' price path has been less predictable over the measured period. Analyzing Darden Restaurants' risk indicators helps explain how recent moves compare with its broader trading range. A narrow gap between mean deviation and standard deviation indicates that Darden Restaurants' return distribution is relatively symmetric.
| Mean Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.13 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Darden Restaurants Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Darden Restaurants is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. This is applicable when the question is whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 118.4 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 240 million |