Driven Brands Etf Forward View
| DRVN Etf | USD 16.89 0.89 5.56% |
Driven Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Driven Brands' etf price is about 63 suggesting that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Driven, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.569 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2779 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.2153 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.4009 | Wall Street Target Price 20.9231 |
Using Driven Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Driven Brands Holdings from the perspective of Driven Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Driven Brands using Driven Brands' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Driven using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Driven Brands' stock price.
Driven Brands Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
Driven Brands' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Driven Brands Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Driven Brands' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Driven Brands stock will not fluctuate a lot when Driven Brands' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Driven Brands Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 15.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.39. Driven Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 16.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Driven Brands to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Driven contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Driven Brands Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0581% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Driven Brands trading at USD 16.89, that is roughly USD 0.009817 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Driven Brands' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Driven Brands Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Driven Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Driven Brands' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Driven Brands' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Driven Brands stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Driven Brands' open interest, investors have to compare it to Driven Brands' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Driven Brands is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Driven. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Driven Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Driven price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Driven using various technical indicators. When you analyze Driven charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Driven Brands Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Driven Brands Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 15.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Driven Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Driven Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Driven Brands Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Driven Brands | Driven Brands Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Driven Brands Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Driven Brands' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Driven Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.84 and 17.95, respectively. We have considered Driven Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Driven Brands etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Driven Brands etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9989 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.285 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.019 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.3864 |
Predictive Modules for Driven Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Driven Brands Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Driven Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Driven Brands After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Driven Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Driven Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Driven Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Driven Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Driven Brands' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Driven Brands' historical news coverage. Driven Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.08 and 18.20, respectively. We have considered Driven Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Driven Brands is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Driven Brands Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Driven Brands Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Driven Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Driven Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Driven Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.06 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.89 | 16.14 | 0.88 |
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Driven Brands Hype Timeline
Driven Brands Holdings is currently traded for 16.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Driven is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.88%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Driven Brands is about 3121.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.91. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.34 B. Net Loss for the year was (292.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.02 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Driven Brands to cross-verify your projections.Driven Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Driven Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Driven Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Driven Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Driven Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SAH | Sonic Automotive | 0.48 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.83 | (3.06) | 7.72 | |
| FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.16 | (6.74) | 13.88 | |
| CPRI | Capri Holdings | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.46 | (3.23) | 12.38 | |
| ADNT | Adient PLC | 0.83 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.13 | (5.12) | 21.07 | |
| HBI | Hanesbrands | 0.24 | 10 per month | 1.49 | (0) | 2.38 | (2.35) | 7.22 | |
| VAC | Marriot Vacations Worldwide | (0.94) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.80 | (4.18) | 28.68 | |
| SBET | Sharplink Gaming | 0.54 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.07 | (9.55) | 21.03 | |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory | 0.45 | 11 per month | 1.85 | 0.11 | 4.01 | (2.63) | 8.66 | |
| KAR | KAR Auction Services | (0.26) | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.06 | 2.59 | (2.37) | 6.46 | |
| OSW | OneSpaWorld Holdings | (0.58) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.69 | (2.86) | 10.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for Driven Brands
For every potential investor in Driven, whether a beginner or expert, Driven Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Driven Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Driven. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Driven Brands' price trends.Driven Brands Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Driven Brands etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Driven Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Driven Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Driven Brands Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Driven Brands etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Driven Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Driven Brands etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Driven Brands Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Driven Brands Risk Indicators
The analysis of Driven Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Driven Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting driven etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Variance | 4.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Driven Brands
The number of cover stories for Driven Brands depends on current market conditions and Driven Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Driven Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Driven Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Driven Brands Short Properties
Driven Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Driven Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Driven Brands Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Driven Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Driven Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 170 M |
Other Information on Investing in Driven Etf
Driven Brands financial ratios help investors to determine whether Driven Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Driven with respect to the benefits of owning Driven Brands security.